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000
FXUS64 KSHV 160839
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
339 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS TO BRING A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY. INSTABILITY...
CLOUD-COVER...AND PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S WITH SOME
AREAS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR DIPPING IN THE UPPER 80S. COULD
SEE LINGERING CONVECTION EARLY IN THE EVENING BEFORE AIRMASS
STABILIZES WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOW TO MID
70S. A VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE BOUNDARY TO
PUSH ACROSS ARKANSAS ON MONDAY ALLOWING FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRIFTS SOUTH AND LINGERS ACROSS
THE AREA. OTHERWISE...HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S AREAWIDE THROUGH
MIDWEEK TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S ON THURSDAY AS UPPER RIDGE
BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED ACROSS TEXAS. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG I-30 HAVE BEEN DIMINISHING...BUT UNDER A WEAK
SHEAR AXIS ALOFT COULD INCREASE TOWARD DAYBREAK. IF NOT...DAYTIME
HEATING WILL DEVELOP A NEW CROP ALONG A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
FROM SE OK...NE TX...NW LA AND DOWN INTO LOWER TOLEDO BAND COUNTRY.
ANY BRIEF MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VSBY ISSUES SHOULD LIFT BY 16Z WITH NEW
CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS PERHAPS BEST AMENDED THAT
WILL BE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE THROUGH SUNSET. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT BECOMING S/SW 5-10 KNOTS AFTER 16/14Z. /24/



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  92  74  92  74  91 /  20  20  20  20  30
MLU  93  72  93  72  90 /  30  30  20  20  30
DEQ  91  72  89  69  88 /  30  30  40  30  30
TXK  92  73  90  72  89 /  30  30  40  30  30
ELD  91  71  91  71  89 /  30  30  40  30  30
TYR  93  75  92  73  90 /  20  10  20  20  30
GGG  92  73  92  73  91 /  20  10  20  20  30
LFK  95  73  94  74  92 /  20  10  10  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

05/24