Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 020004
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
704 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR TO CONTINUE THIS CYCLE. WE HAVE LIGHT NE FLOW IN THE LOWER
LEVELS AND JUST A FEW CU LEFT IN THE 5-7KFT RANGE PINNED UP RIGHT
UP UNDER A TEMPERATURE INVERSION AT 8.5KFT. IN FACT...NEARBY KMNE
HAS A CIG OF LOW MID DECK AT THE INVERSION. MODELS KEEPING SOME
CLOUDS OVERNIGHT...BUT SCT CU AGAIN ON SAT LIFTING DURING HEATING.
SFC WINDS SLACK AND VEER BCMG E BY DAYBREAK AND SE INTO THE AFTN
10KTS OR LESS. CLIMB WINDS TO REMAIN QUITE LIGHT DEEPENING SE FLOW
TO CU BASES AND THEN VEERING TO NW 5-15KTS...A BIT MORE ABV FL300.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM
CLARKSVILLE TX...TO SHREVEPORT...TO ALEXANDRIA LA...WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
STALLING IN OUR FAR SOUTHWEST ZONES TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL HELP
BRING IN A REINFORCING SHOT OF DRIER AIR ACROSS THE
REGION. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL IN MOST AREAS.

WEATHER SHOULD REMAIN QUIET THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND
AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER. THE
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST ON SUNDAY AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
RETURN ALONG WITH A SLIGHT WARM UP IN TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
REGION. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIG ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CONUS
BY MONDAY AND OUR FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST. AT THE SAME
TIME SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW HELP ADVECT MORE MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION BY MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. AS OF NOW...THE THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS VERY LOW. /20/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 131 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD ENDING
02/18Z. SURFACE WIND MOSTLY EAST TO NORTHEAST 4 TO 8 KTS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 15 KTS. WIND BECOMING LIGHT
AND VRBL AFTER 02/00Z. /14/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  80  55  79  59 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  78  51  78  55 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  76  50  77  55 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  77  52  78  58 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  77  50  78  55 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  80  58  79  59 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  80  56  79  59 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  82  58  81  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24/20


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