Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 270345 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
945 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SFC HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HRS. COMBINED WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...THIS SHOULD
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO COOL NICELY AND WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER CHILLY
NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA. WILL LIKELY SEE SOME VERY THIN
CIRRUS AFFECT NRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TONIGHT. GOING FCST LOOKS
WELL ON TRACK. SENT A QUICK ZFP TO UPDATE WORDING BUT NO ELEMENTS
OF THE FCST WERE CHANGED. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 450 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

AVIATION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH SW AR/NW LA AND EC TX
WITH POST FRONTAL WINDS SHIFTING AROUND TO A NW DIRECTION. AHEAD
OF THE BOUNDARY...WINDS ARE PREDOMINANTLY FROM THE WEST BUT OVER
THE LAST HOUR...WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DECOUPLE FROM THE STRONGER
GUSTS EXPERIENCED DURING THE DAY. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH A NW TO NNW WIND
EXPECTED NEAR 5KTS OR LESS. SFC RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS QUICKLY TO OUR
NE ON TURKEY DAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN WINDS QUICKLY SHIFTING
AROUND TO A NE DIRECTION BUT SPEEDS SHOULD BE NO MORE THAN 7-8KTS.

THIN CIRRUS ACROSS S AR INTO N LA SHOULD MOVE OUT QUICKLY TONIGHT
AND WITH NO OTHER CLOUDS TO CONTEND WITH...VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 231 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WEAK COLD FRONT ENTERING I-30 CORRIDOR...SHIFTING WINDS TO
NW. HOWEVER...DEWPOINT ANALYSIS REVEALS ONLY VERY SLIGHT COLD AIR
ADVECTION. OVERNIGHT NW BREEZE AND CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPS MOSTLY
ABOVE FREEZING MARK...EXCEPT FOR RIGHT AROUND FRZG NEAR I-30.
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THRU THE HOLIDAY WITH THURSDAY
NIGHT RADIATION COOLING PROVIDING FOR ONE MORE NIGHT IN 30S. THEREAFTER...
WARMING TREND UNDERWAY FOR WEEKEND WITH UPPER FLOW BECMG ZONAL.
APPEARS TOO MUCH MID LVL DRY AIR FOR RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND...AND
STILL MAINTAIN AT LEAST LOW POPS FOR FROPA ON MONDAY...ALTHOUGH
MODELS NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT YET. THIS FRONT WILL BE SHALLOW...AS
TEMPS RETURN TO SEASONALLY WARM BY END OF EXTENDED PERIOD.

/VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  57  35  64  53 /   0   0   0   0  10
MLU  37  53  32  61  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  29  55  29  61  48 /   0   0   0   0  10
TXK  33  54  34  62  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
ELD  31  53  31  61  50 /   0   0   0   0  10
TYR  36  58  38  65  56 /   0   0   0   0  10
GGG  35  59  36  65  55 /   0   0   0   0  10
LFK  38  61  36  67  56 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09





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