Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 251900
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
100 PM CST WED FEB 25 2015

.AVIATION...
SNOW SHWRS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MANY OF THE AREA TERMINALS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END. REDUCED
VSBYS DUE TO FOG/SNOW WITH MOSTLY MVFR/IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
MUCH OF THE PD. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE N THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE PICKING UP INTO THE 8-12 KT RANGE ACROSS
THE WRN HALF OF THE REGION BY THE END OF THE PD. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 PM CST WED FEB 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...

MADE A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO THE DATA FOR THE AFTERNOON FORECAST.
WILL KEEP THE CURRENT WARNINGS AND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 PM CST. THE CURRENT RADAR INDICATED A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
COVERAGE OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN PARTS OF EAST AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS. THIS ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO EAST TEXAS AND
ADJACENT NORTHWEST LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE
FOUR STATE REGION. ALONG AND OUT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH PRECIPITATION
WILL BE OCCURRING AS MOSTLY SNOW WITH A WINTRY MIX OVER EASTERN
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...MIXED
WITH SLEET... WITH A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW INTO THE AFTERNOON. SMALL
AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATION AND SLEET WILL OCCUR WITH SNOW FALLING
OVER THE ICE. ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE NEAR ONE TENTH OF AN INCH
WITH LESS THAN 1/4 INCH OF SLEET AND SNOW AMOUNTS OVER LOWER PARTS
OF EAST TEXAS INTO LOWER PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH...AND HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ACROSS EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA. THERE MAY BE AN
ISOLATED AMOUNT OF SNOW TO 6 INCHES. PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WILL SEE 2 TO 3 INCHES AND COULD HAVE A ISOLATED AMOUNT TO 4
INCHES. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD EXIT THE REGION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING. MUCH OF THE SNOW WILL SEE SOME
MELTING WITH WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES BUT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
DROPPING BELOW FREEZING...MUCH OF THE SNOW AND ICE WILL REMAIN
INTO THE DAY THURSDAY UNTIL TEMPERATURES WARM UP.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  29  40  28  40 / 100  10  10  10  10
MLU  34  27  40  26  39 / 100  10  10  10  10
DEQ  34  24  35  22  35 / 100  10  20  10  20
TXK  34  24  37  24  35 / 100  10  20  10  10
ELD  34  25  39  23  36 / 100  10  20  10  10
TYR  36  30  40  28  39 / 100  10  10  10  10
GGG  36  29  40  28  40 / 100  10  10  10  10
LFK  38  31  49  31  46 / 100  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073.

LA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ001>006-010>014-019-021.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ017-018-020-022.

OK...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-151.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ149-150-152-153-165>167.

&&

$$

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