Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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774
FXUS64 KSHV 221757 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1257 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2016

.AVIATION...
A stationary front lingers across Srn OK...portions of extreme NE
TX into extreme Srn AR...near an AQR...to PRX...to TXK and just S
of an ELD line as of 17Z. To the S...cigs have become high
MVFR/low VFR across much of E TX/N LA...with IFR/low MVFR cigs
still hanging on N of the front across extreme SE OK/SW AR.
Gradual improvement to these cigs are expected this afternoon over
SW AR as the front continues to slowly lift back N...with VFR
conditions expected through a portion of the afternoon as sct
convection continues to develop across the warm sector S of the
front. In addition...another larger band of convection over Ecntrl
TX will continue to expand NNE into much of E TX this
afternoon...affecting the TYR/GGG/LFK terminals between
18-21Z...and SHV between 20-22Z. MVFR cigs/reduced vsbys/wind
gusts to 35kts will be possible...with additional sct convection
developing/affecting the remaining terminals through the
afternoon/early evening before diminishing. Considerable elevated
convective debris should linger through this evening...before
thinning late. Patchy FG should also develop over areas that
receive significant rains...with IFR/low MVFR cigs expected to
develop by/after 12Z Tuesday especially over E TX and portions of
SW AR/N LA. These cigs should eventually lift/scatter out by late
morning/midday Tuesday. SSE winds 4-7kts this afternoon will
become light S after 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1053 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Scattered convection continues to slowly develop north of
Interstate 30. Farther south, the next significant round of
showers and thunderstorms is moving north-northeast through
Southeast Texas and should enter our East Texas counties south of
Interstate 20 during the afternoon hours. Additional scattered
convection is expected to develop, as well. There have been some
breaks in the cloud cover over our far southeast parishes in
Louisiana, but the clouds should fill in once again as the Texas
convection moves into the area.

Overall, the forecast for the remainder of today looks on track
and no updates are anticipated.

/09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  86  74  93  75 /  50  20  20  10
MLU  88  74  93  75 /  50  20  20  10
DEQ  82  72  90  73 /  50  30  30  10
TXK  83  73  91  74 /  50  30  20  10
ELD  83  73  91  75 /  50  20  20  10
TYR  86  74  92  75 /  50  20  10  10
GGG  86  74  92  75 /  50  20  10  10
LFK  89  75  93  75 /  50  20  20  10

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

15



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