Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 280503
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1203 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
FEW MID CLOUDS AND SOME CIRRUS WITH SFC WINDS STARTING TO SHIFT
FROM NE TO SE...AND LIKELY TO BE SO AREA WIDE BY DAYBREAK WITH
S/SW WINDS 5-10KTS BY 15Z. THERE COULD BE SOME BRIEF DAYBREAK
BR/FG IF CALM...BUT VFR QUICK TO RETURN. ATTM...OUR CLIMB WINDS
ARE MORE OR LESS NW FLOW THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN WITH 10-50KTS BY
8KFT...AROUND 75-85 KTS BY FL200-FL300 RESPECTIVELY. THIS NW FLOW
ALOFT WILL BACK TO SW FROM THE BOTTOM UP LATE IN THIS TAF CYCLE.
OUTLOOK IS FOR MORE SW WIND SUNDAY WITH SHWRS/TSTMS AFTER 30/00Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 943 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE DECOUPLED AS STRONG SURFACE BASED
INVERSION TAKES HOLD THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
FALL BUT MAYBE NOT QUITE AS AGGRESSIVE AS LAST NIGHT DUE TO SOME
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE REGION. THIS MORNINGS LOWS IN THE MID
AND UPPER 30S ALLOWED FOR SOME PATCHY FROST IN THE RURAL AREAS
THIS MORNING...BUT FEEL THIS IS LESS LIKELY TONIGHT WITH THE CLOUD
COVER. LOWS SHOULD BE MORE UNIFORM...IN THE 40 TO 45 DEGREE RANGE
AREA WIDE. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK...SO NO UPDATE ATTM.

/14/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 206 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IN STORE FOR THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH
THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDING BEHIND A
COLD FRONT ALLOWING FOR NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WINDS SHOULD
DECOUPLE THIS EVENING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE
REGION OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER COOL NIGHT EXPECTED WITH LOWS FORECAST
TO FALL INTO THE 40S. HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION TO GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT.

WINDS TO BECOME SOUTHERLY ON SATURDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY TO CLIMB INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 60S.

DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...RAIN CHANCES TO INCREASE ON MONDAY
NIGHT AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WEAK BOUNDARY TO LIFT NORTH ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD
OF A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. UPPER-TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL PLAINS TO NORTHERN GULF COAST TO ALLOW FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ADDITIONALLY...ANOTHER COLD FRONT FORECAST TO BRING MORE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  43  74  54  81 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  41  67  49  77 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  38  67  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  42  70  51  77 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  40  66  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  45  77  56  81 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  43  76  52  80 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  47  80  58  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24/14/05



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