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000
FXUS64 KSHV 152328
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
628 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.AVIATION...
MVFR ceilings from ELD to LFK including MLU to persist through
16/04Z before quickly improving to VFR as dry air behind a cold
front becomes established across the region. North winds around
10 knots, with occasional gusts, overnight to become northeast at
10 to 15 knots with gusts to near 20 knots on Monday. /05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 353 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The cold front is still moving SE this afternoon with still the
SE quarter or so of our area to work over. Some showers extend
from Choudrant to Chatham, which may be just a bit behind the
surface boundary entering Ouachita parish now. Also from
Natchitoches down to Lufkin upper sixty dew points will quickly
be replaced by 50s this late afternoon and 40s as the sky loosen
up tonight.

Fall is going to actually hang around for a bit to start the week
and a little below averages for mid October. Dry weather will
linger, but the models still eventually retrograde an upper low
now out over the Gulf moving East by late week and then work
inland around the upper ridge hanging over the SE U.S. This could
bring some much needed rain to mainly LA, but depending on track
perhaps more elsewhere. We will also see another front this time
next week. So maybe looking up all around in the days to come.
/24/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  74  49  76 /  10   0   0   0
MLU  51  73  47  75 /  10   0   0   0
DEQ  44  73  42  75 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  48  72  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  46  72  44  74 /  10   0   0   0
TYR  50  74  47  75 /  10   0   0   0
GGG  49  74  46  76 /  10   0   0   0
LFK  52  74  48  76 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05/15