Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 251027
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
527 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.AVIATION...
Mostly vfr skc conditions across area with patchy cigs around 8k
feet drifting acorss area this am. high based cumulus expected to
also develop once again this aftn. Isold aftn convection may
sneak into klfk area from se TX. brief patchy fog may occur early
this am...and again btwn 26/10-12z across a few portions of the
cwa. S-SW winds again 5 to 10 kts this aftn./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 302 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Surface and upper-level ridge to persist through the remainder of
the weekend. High temperatures today and Sunday to climb into the
mid 90s. Heat index values will approach around 100 today
mitigating the need for a heat advisory. However, may see heat
index values approaching 105 degrees on Sunday and Monday, which
would warrant a heat advisory for these two days across portions
of the region.

A weak perturbation in the mean low-level flow to allow for
scattered showers across portions of deep-east Texas and west-
central Louisiana today. Otherwise, mainly dry conditions to
prevail across the region today.

Afternoon showers and thunderstorms to gradually increase in
coverage as a frontal boundary eases into the region from the
northeast. Additionally, upper-level ridge to retrograde westward
on Monday allowing for upper flow to become northwest for the
remainder of the workweek. Disturbances within upper-flow to
maintain scattered showers and thunderstorms through the
remainder of the forecast period, including occasional overnight
convection. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  95  77  96  77 /  10  10  30  20
MLU  95  76  97  77 /  10  10  30  20
DEQ  93  74  95  74 /  10  10  30  20
TXK  94  76  96  76 /  10  10  30  20
ELD  94  75  96  76 /  10  10  30  20
TYR  95  77  95  77 /  20  10  20  10
GGG  94  76  96  76 /  10  10  20  10
LFK  93  75  95  75 /  30  20  20  10

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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