Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KSHV 051258
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
758 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.AVIATION...
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
AND TRAILING INTO NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE AREA. OTHER WEAK DISTURBANCES ALOFT
MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS ALONG
WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND GULF MOISTURE WILL RETURN CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FOR OTHER TERMINALS DURING THE DAY. IFR CONDITIONS
WILL START OFF THE TERMINAL FORECAST EARLY THIS MORNING AND GIVE
WAY TO MVFR INTO THE MORNING WITH VFR BY MID TO LATE MORNING AND
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IFR/MVFR
FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL RETURN DURING THE LATER PARTS OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD FROM 06/08Z-06/14Z MONDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 513 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLOUDY FOR MANY OF US WITH SOME UPPER 60S NORTH...BUT
MOSTLY LOW TO MID 70S AREA WIDE. OUR DEW POINTS ARE A LITTLE
DRIER NORTH OF I-20. THE KSHV 88D IS SHOWING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING FROM EL DORADO...TO
RUSTON...TO SIKES AND OLLA. MOVEMENT WAS DUE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
OUR UPPER LEVEL WIND PROFILE ALOFT IS STILL SOUTHWEST FROM THE
SURFACE ON INTO THE MID LEVELS WITH NW FLOW ON UP.

THE WATER VAPOR IS SHOWING THE VORT THAT WAS OVER NE OK/W AR
YESTERDAY...NOW OVER TN/KY AND WRAPPING UP THE TROPICAL
CONNECTION WHICH STILL EXTENDS OVERHEAD ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20.
HEATING WILL ENHANCE LIFT WITH COVERAGE LIKELY TO INCREASE OVER
THE AREA AGAIN TODAY. HOWEVER...NOW THAT THE LOW IS SO
DISTANT...WE CAN EXPECT OVERALL COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN THE
LAST DAY OR SO.

MEANWHILE...THE UPPER RIDGE IS OVER W TX AND MEXICO ALL SET TO
EXPAND BACK NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD OVER US WITH HEIGHTS READY TO
RISE. THIS WILL REALLY LIMIT OUR THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO JUST
ISOLATED OR NONE DURING THE WEEK AHEAD. THERE IS STILL A BIT OF A
SHORT WAVE FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WHICH LOOKS TO THE BEST DAY
FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AS IT SWINGS OVERHEAD. THIS WILL BE THE
TROUGH/S LAST IMPULSE WHICH IS NOW OVER IA AND DROPPING SOUTHWARD
IN THE FLOW ALOFT. SUPER BLEND AND ALL BLEND HAS BEEN WEIGHTED
INTO OUR EXPECTATIONS FOR HIGHS AND LOWS WHICH WILL BE VERY CLOSE
TO AVERAGE OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE LATE IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  90  73  93  76 /  30  20  10  10
MLU  86  71  92  74 /  50  20  10  10
DEQ  87  70  90  74 /  40  20  10  20
TXK  88  73  91  75 /  40  20  10  20
ELD  87  70  92  74 /  40  20  10  10
TYR  91  73  92  76 /  20  10  10  10
GGG  91  73  92  76 /  30  10  10  10
LFK  92  74  93  76 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.