Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 232217
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
417 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
This afternoon high pressure on the surface and aloft dominated
the weather pattern across the Four State Area and provided cool
and dry conditions. With light winds and clear skies overnight
temperatures will dip into the upper 30/s for the Northeast
sections with upper 40/s to the Southwest. Both the upper ridge
and surface ridge of high pressure will shift to the East allowing
for a returning Southerly flow that will produce a gradual warming
for Tuesday and Tuesday night with temperature highs and lows
around 10-15 degrees higher than the start to the week. Our next
upper level low pressure will be moving from the Western sections
of the country into the back of the departing ridge aloft and
sending a surface low pressure system across the central parts of
the country with a trailing cold front. That cold front will be
moving into the forecast area from the West Tuesday night
returning cloud cover and showers from around midnight into the
day Wednesday. Most of the rainfall will be to the East of a
Magnolia, Arkansas to Shreveport, Louisiana and Jacksonville,
Texas line. The upper trough axis will clear the rain and clouds
out by late in the day Wednesday followed by high pressure that
will provide much cooler weather for the rest of the week and
through the weekend with temperatures to range from highs in the
50s to lows in the 30s. /06/

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1106 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017/

AVIATION...
VFR conditions to prevail throughout the 18Z TAF pd, as high
pressure at the sfc moves ovhd. Nwly winds 5-10 kts will become
light/vrbl to near-calm overnight, and then increase out of the se
8-12 kts by mid-morning Tuesday. Otherwise, a few areas of very
patchy fog may develop at a few sites around sunrise, but
confidence is too low to mention in the TAFs attm. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  42  74  52  63 /  10  10  20  20
MLU  38  69  55  66 /  10  10  20  20
DEQ  38  69  42  56 /  10  10   0  10
TXK  41  70  47  58 /  10  10  10  10
ELD  39  70  51  62 /  10  10  20  20
TYR  47  74  48  60 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  44  74  50  61 /  10  10  10  10
LFK  45  76  54  66 /  10  10  30  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/12



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