Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 010259
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
959 PM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Another pleasant fall evening to wrap up September as mostly clear
skies prevail with only some high thin cirrus drifting in from the
northwest. Temperatures are still falling off quite nicely, and
the current forecast appears to have a good handle on all forecast
elements. No changes are planned at this time. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 816 PM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016/

AVIATION...
For the 01/00Z terminals, VFR conditions to prevail through the
terminal forecast period. Surface high pressure across the region
to maintain light and variable winds overnight and through much of
the day Saturday with the winds increasing slightly from late
morning into the afternoon. A large upper level closed low over
Central Kentucky and South Illinois and a ridge of high pressure
aloft from Mexico into the Central and Northern Plains will help
spread cirrus around 25 kft Southeast around the ridge, while some
lower to mostly middle clouds between 6-17 kft rounding the upper
low to the East. As the moisture increases expecting scattered to
broken bases affecting the terminals after 01/09Z-01/13Z Saturday
that will gradually lower through the day and beyond the forecast
period. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 222 PM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Deep upper low drifting over southern great lakes area, keeping
upper ridge and nw flow aloft, locked in ovhd. Unseasonal cool
overnight lows into the 50s will result, with aftn highs mostly
reaching the 80 degree mark. As this low begins to move into the
New England states, upper ridge begins to flatten out, and temps
to warm back to seasonal values. Short wave will move across the
region mid week, yielding low chance showers as moisture will
still be rather meager. 590 upper ridge rebuilds back in from
south tx, thus fairly dry conditions will reestablish to conclude
this fcst. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  84  59  88 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  54  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  51  82  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  53  84  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  52  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  55  83  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  54  84  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  55  85  60  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

19/06



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