Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 140555
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1155 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 14/06Z...MVFR CIGS ALREADY MOVING INTO OUR E TX TERMINALS
TO BEGIN THIS TAF PERIOD AND THAT TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO NW LA
AND SW AR SITES LATER THIS MORNING. VSBY CONCERNS WILL LIKELY BE
MORE ISOLD WITH THE LFK TERMINAL POSSIBLY SEEING SOME RESTRICTIONS
FROM MID TO LATE MORNING...AS E/SE WINDS ARE MAINTAINING OVERNIGHT
FROM 6-12 KTS AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASING
PRESSURE GRADIENT...ALLOWING OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 15 KTS TO
OCCUR AS WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY WITH TIME. PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD AFTER 15/00Z SO HAVE
ONLY INCLUDED VCSH IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 839 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A STEEP TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT GRADIENT CURRENTLY IN PLACE OF
AROUND 15 DEGREES FROM EAST TO WEST IN THE CWA. HOWEVER...AS EAST
TO SE WINDS PICKING UP IN RESPONSE TO A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH
ACROSS EAST TX...AND CLOUDS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS AREA AROUND 850
MB MOIST LAYER...AS SEEN ON KSHV AND KLCH 0Z SOUNDINGS...THIS
GRADIENT WILL EASE UP A BIT OVERNIGHT. MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS FOR
TEMPS FALLING JUST A FEW MORE DEGREES...BEFORE NEARLY LEVELING OUT
AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL DAYBREAK. LEFT RAINFALL OUT OF FCST THRU THE
OVERNIGHT...AS MOIST LAYER WILL REMAIN WELL TO SHALLOW./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  57  43  64  55 /   0   0  20  60
MLU  50  35  63  54 /   0   0  20  60
DEQ  50  37  57  45 /   0  10  30  70
TXK  52  40  60  50 /   0   0  20  70
ELD  48  34  60  50 /   0   0  20  70
TYR  60  50  70  55 /   0   0  20  50
GGG  58  47  67  55 /   0   0  20  50
LFK  64  48  69  57 /   0   0  20  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19/07


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