Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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511
FXUS64 KSHV 012311
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
611 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.AVIATION...
Isolated showers have developed well North of ktxk early this
evening. Have inserted a VCSH for a few hours in case this
activity nears the said terminal before diminishing shortly after
sunset. Attention will once again turn to the potential for VFR-
MVFR fog and/or haze to briefly affect kmlu, ktyr, kggg, klfk and
keld overnight. Furthermore, computer models hint at the
development of SCT MVFR CIGS developing more so at ktxk, ktyr,
kggg overnight. Otherwise, southerly wind speeds will drop below 6
kts after sunset and at times become variable, while veering to
the south southwest throughout the TAF cycle.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 214 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A midlevel ridge is centered over TX to dominate our weather
through this holiday weekend. By the fourth of July...a weak short
wave trough approaches from KS and moves through the forecast area
through Tuesday evening. This trough should provide some SCT light
rains that are always timely and welcome during this time of year.

After the trough passage during Tuesday...the ridge rebuilds and
strengthens over TX with a warming trend into the upper 90s and
even a few possible highs of 100 expected by late next week.

A typical very warm and humid Independence Day holiday weekend
expected but forecast indices through Monday approach but do not
exceed 105 degrees. Area residents should drink plenty of cool ice
water this weekend and Monday during their outside activities.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1223 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016/

AVIATION...
For the 01/18Z terminal forecast period vfr flight conditions will
prevail along with light and variable winds. Early Saturday morning
terminals KGGG,KLFK,KTYR and KMLU will briefly fall to mvfr VISBY
in mist and haze from 02/09Z to 02/12Z. /21/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  97  77  97 /   0  10  10  10
MLU  72  97  75  96 /   0  10  10  10
DEQ  69  94  73  95 /  10  10  10  10
TXK  73  96  76  95 /  10  10  10  10
ELD  70  96  74  96 /  10  10  10  10
TYR  75  96  77  96 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  73  96  77  96 /   0  10  10  10
LFK  74  96  75  96 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

29/08/21



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