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000
FXUS64 KSHV 240514
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1214 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.AVIATION...
BACK DOOR COLD FRONT CAME KICKING IN THE DOOR WITH A PRE FRONTAL
DERECHO. UPPER LEVEL EGG BEATERS FUNNELED THE ENERGY FROM THE
BOOT HEEL OF MO DOWN INTO NE TX. THE SFC WINDS ARE L/V OR CALM IN
THE WAKE OF THIS ACTIVITY FAR TO OUR N. THE SFC FRONT AND IT/S
DRY AIR ARE WORKING INTO N AR ATTM. A WEAK FRONT WITH NE SFC WINDS
FOR THE ARKLATEX ON THURSDAY. JUST ENOUGH RAIN LAST EVENING TO
MAKE SOME SPOTTY IFR/MVFR AROUND DAYBREAK FOR BR MAYBE A CIG...BUT
HARD CALL WITH LIMITED AMOUNTS OF RAIN AT THIS TIME. RADAR EST ARE
A BIT OVER DONE COMPLICATING THE PICTURE. LOTS OF DEBRIS CLOUDS
OVERNIGHT SHOULD BECOME FAIR DURING THE OVERNIGHT. MODELS DRY THIS
TAF CYCLE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 859 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THIS UPDATE...WENT AHEAD AND CANCELED ALL WATCHES ACROSS THE
AREA AS A RESULT OF DIMINISHING CONVECTION DUE TO COOL POOL
OUTRUNNING MAIN LINE. COOLER AIR BEHIND CONVECTIVE COMPLEX BROUGHT
TEMPERATURES INTO THE 60S ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. THESE COOLER
TEMPERATURES SURPASSED FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. WENT
AHEAD AND ADJUSTED OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ACCORDINGLY. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  69  96  75  96  75 /  20  30  10  10   0
MLU  72  93  70  93  73 /  20  30  10  10   0
DEQ  67  93  70  96  72 /  20  20  10  10   0
TXK  68  94  70  95  74 /  20  20  10  10   0
ELD  67  93  68  93  72 /  20  20  10  10   0
TYR  74  97  76  98  76 /  20  20  10  10   0
GGG  68  95  75  96  75 /  20  20  10  10   0
LFK  74  97  75  97  75 /  20  20  20  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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