Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 291843
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
143 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 29/18Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS OBSERVED AREA WIDE EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH FAIR WEATHER CU OVER OUR FAR ERN TERMINALS. SOUTH
WINDS SUSTAINED FROM 12-18 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KTS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE SETTLING BACK TO NEAR
10 KTS OR LESS AFTER SUNSET. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL FOR
MUCH OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT LOW STRATUS WILL BEGIN
TO SURGE BACK NWRD ON MONDAY MORNING. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL ALSO
BE MOVING IN AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO STALL
ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. SHWRS AND ISOLD TSTMS
WILL BE SPREADING SOUTH WITH THIS FRONT LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE
DAY ON MONDAY SO CIGS AND VSBYS WILL REMAIN IN THE MVFR/IFR RANGE
FROM MID MORNING THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK THIS MORNING. LOW CLOUDS BEGINNING TO
ERODE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS TEMPERATURES STEADILY RISE INTO THE
MID 60S ACROSS THE REGION. SHOULD SEE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX
DOWN TO THE SURFACE ALLOWING FOR GUSTY CONDITIONS TODAY. LAKE
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND EAST
TEXAS TODAY. FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO BE THE
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION LATER THIS EVENING. COULD SEE STORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE RED RIVER IN NORTHEAST TEXAS BY SUNSET
BECOMING MARGINALLY SEVERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  71  61  80 /  20  30  20  20
MLU  59  71  57  81 /  30  30  20  20
DEQ  55  70  57  75 /  40  30  30  30
TXK  57  68  59  74 /  40  30  30  30
ELD  56  69  57  77 /  40  30  30  30
TYR  62  72  62  78 /  20  30  20  20
GGG  62  72  62  78 /  20  30  20  20
LFK  64  74  62  82 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR OKZ077.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR TXZ096-
     108>111-124-125-136-137-149-150.

&&

$$

19


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