Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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274
FXUS64 KSHV 070318
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
918 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.UPDATE...
ALL IS QUIET TONIGHT ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. CU HAS
DISSIPATED AND ALL THAT IS NOTED ON REGIONAL IR IMAGERY IS THIN
CIRRUS THAT WILL BE SPILLING SOUTHWARD INTO OUR REGION IN THE WAKE
OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS. AT THE SFC...CENTER OF A SFC
RIDGE WAS ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING
ACROSS OUR REGION INTO THE TENN VALLEY. THIS RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT
SOUTH AND EAST OVERNIGHT. MAY SEE A LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND DEVELOP
TOWARDS THE PREDAWN HOURS ACROSS NE TX BUT IT WILL NOT AMOUNT TO
MUCH IF IT DEVELOPS AT ALL. IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS
SHOULD EXIST ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND FOR THAT REASON...HAVE
LOWERED TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SW AR. RAIN TODAY
WAS CONFINED TO MAINLY NE TX AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE
SOME PATCHY FOG ALONG A LINE FROM PARIS...MOUNT PLEASANT AND
LONGVIEW...ONTO NEAR CARTHAGE AND CENTER TEXAS. WHILE THIS FOG
DEVELOPMENT CANNOT BE RULED OUT...IT WOULD LIKELY BE VERY PATCHY
AND IS NOT WORTH A MENTION IN THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST PACKAGE.

UPDATE ALREADY SENT...13.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

AVIATION...
FOR THE ARKLATEX...SKIES CLEARING OFF NOW WITH EXITING UPPER STORM
OVER THE MS RIVER. WE WILL SEE A FEW/SCT CIRRUS BY DAYBREAK AND
FOR SUNDAY. OUR SFC WINDS ARE SLACKING AND STILL NW WITH HIGH
PRESSURE AT KTPL AND DRIFTING E. THIS WILL BRING LOW LEVEL RETURN
IN FROM THE SW ACROSS OUR AREA SUNDAY. RIGHT NOW...ALOFT WE VARY
N-NE ON CLIMB WITH INCREASING SPEED TO JET MAX AT 110KT AT FL300.
ALL LEVELS WILL SLACK AND BACK TO NW FOR TOMORROW. LITTLE CHANGE
INTO THE NEW WEEK.

24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  32  61  37  54 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  31  60  38  54 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  28  59  32  50 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  32  59  36  51 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  29  59  36  52 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  33  62  37  54 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  32  61  36  53 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  33  62  38  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24/13



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