Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 031910
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
210 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE OVER ROCKIES..WITH DEEP UPPER TROUGH
RETREATING ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...BRINGING COOLER TEMPS
AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO AREA UNDER DEEP NW FLOW. COLD FRONT
EARLY WEDNESDAY IN THIS FLOW WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON
TEMPS...BUT WILL SCOUR OUT ANY LEFTOVER WRAPAROUND MOISTURE SEEN
AS SCT/BKN LOW CLOUDS CURRENTLY ACROSS MUCH OF AREA. GUSTY NW
WINDS IN DRY AIRMASS MAY COME CLOSE TO LWA CRITERIA...MAINLY DURG
THE AFTN ON WED. SFC HIGH PRESSURE TO DOMINATE THU AND FRI...WITH
WARMING TREND INTO THE WKND. FIRST CHANCE OF NEXT RAIN LATE SUNDAY
NE TX/SE OK AS NEXT TROUGH...STILL OVER EASTERN PAC...SLOWLY MAKES
ITS WAY BEHIND THE UPPER RIDGE. EVEN THIS...CURRENT MOISTURE
PROFILES SUGGEST ONLY SCATTERED CONVECTION FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 103 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 03/18Z TERMINAL FORECAST...EXPECTING MOSTLY VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORIES WITH ONLY A FEW BRIEF LOWERING TO MVFR BETWEEN 25 HND
TO 3 KFT NEAR ISSUANCE OF THE TERMINAL FORECAST. THE VFR
CLOUDS/CEILINGS WILL DISSIPATE NEAR 04/00Z TO 04/03Z WITH HIGHER
MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS BETWEEN 10-15 KFT AND CIRRUS NEAR 20-30 KFT
SHIFTING OVER THE FOUR STATE REGION WITH APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS
7-13 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON DROPPING OFF AFTER 04/00Z TO LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TO LIGHT NORTHWEST...INCREASING TO WEST AND NORTHWEST
8-15 KNOTS ON WEDNESDAY AFTER 04/14Z. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  79  54  77 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  53  78  53  76 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  50  78  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  54  77  51  76 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  52  77  50  76 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  55  79  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  54  79  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  55  80  55  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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