Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 300321
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1021 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.AVIATION...
QUIET NIGHT EXPECTED ON THE AVIATION FRONT. SOME DEBRIS HIGH CLOUD
REMNANTS FROM CONVECTION EARLIER THIS EVENING ACROSS SE LA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO THIN AS IT DRIFTS ACROSS THE TERMINAL LOCATIONS
OVERNIGHT. WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NEAR CALM MOST LOCATIONS WITH SFC
HIGH PRESSURE DIRECTLY OVHD.

WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BACKDOOR ITS WAY
INTO OUR REGION FROM THE NORTHEAST. MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THIS BOUNDARY WITH THE AID OF DAYTIME HEATING ON THURSDAY. HAVE
LEFT OUT ANY MENTION OF TSTMS WITH THIS TAF PACKAGE AS THE CHANCES
JUST DO NOT WARRANT A MENTION AT THIS TIME.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 943 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT AS CONVECTION LARGELY
DISSIPATED/EXITED THE CWA. ALSO UPDATED SKY GRIDS BASED ON LATEST
TRENDS. OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF THE FCST LOOKS ON TRACK. UPDATED
PRODUCTS WILL BE SENT SHORTLY. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76 102  76  98 /  10  20  20  10
MLU  77 101  75  96 /  10  30  10  10
DEQ  73  98  74  95 /  10  30  20  10
TXK  76 100  75  96 /  10  30  10  10
ELD  75  98  72  94 /  10  30  10  10
TYR  76 102  76  99 /  10  20  20  20
GGG  76 101  76  99 /  10  20  20  10
LFK  74 100  77  99 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR ARZ072-073.

LA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

OK...NONE.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR TXZ152-153-165>167.

&&

$$

05/13



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