Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 272102
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
402 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THIS AFTERNOON A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WAS
CENTERED OVER THE PAN HANDLE OF TEXAS WITH ITS RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING
EAST ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA. WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER UNDER THE
SYSTEM AND PLENTY OF SUN THE TEMPERATURES CLIMBED INTO THE 90/S
WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES FROM THE UPPER 90/S TO NEAR 105 DEGREES.
AS ADVERTISED A CHANGE IS IN THE OFFERING AFTER TODAY WITH A GRADUAL
LOWERING OF THE DAYTIME HIGHS AND SOME MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL.
A NON TYPICAL COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FOUR STATE AREA
OVERNIGHT AND ON MONDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES SOUTH FROM THE
GREAT LAKES SOUTHWEST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST
STATES. DISTURBANCES RIDING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN THE
UPPER RIDGE OUT WEST AND THE UPPER LOW/TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE
EAST WILL HELP PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND NEAR
THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THE SURFACE FRONT
WILL BE NEAR THE GULF COAST FROM WESTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTH LOUISIANA
AND THEN NORTHWEST ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST TEXAS AND EASTERN
NEW MEXICO. RAINFALL WILL END BY LATE TUESDAY AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR
OVER SPREADS THE REGION. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN WILL BE ON THE WAY
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES
RIDES TOWARD AND INTO THE FOUR STATE REGION IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW.
WITH MORE RAINFALL AND CLOUD COVER EXPECT A CONTINUED TREND OF
LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS THROUGH LATE WEEK...WITH A TAPERING OFF OF RAIN
INTO THE WEEKEND. /06/

&&

.AVIATION...

COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE N REACHES OF THE ARKLATEX REGION DURING
MONDAY MORNING WITH SOME ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE AS WELL. IN
THE MEANTIME...VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AS
MID LEVEL RIDGING PROVIDES STABLE CONDITIONS. /VIII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  92  71  91  68 /  20  30  20   0  10
MLU  73  92  67  89  64 /  10  30  20   0  10
DEQ  71  89  64  85  63 /  30  20  10   0   0
TXK  73  91  67  88  65 /  30  30  20   0   0
ELD  72  91  67  86  64 /  30  30  20   0   0
TYR  75  92  71  91  70 /  10  30  20  10  10
GGG  75  92  70  91  69 /  10  30  20  10  10
LFK  75  94  73  92  72 /  10  40  30  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06





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