Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 042244
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
544 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.AVIATION...
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 2 OR 3 HOURS BEFORE WE SEE
THIS ACTIVITY DISSIPATE. NOT LIKELY THAT THIS WILL AFFECT ANY
TERMINAL LOCATIONS BUT IF IT DOES...WILL HANDLE IT WITH AN
AMENDMENT. OTHERWISE...CU FIELD SHOULD DISSIPATE ALONG WITH THE
CONVECTION...RESULTING IN VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT.

ANOTHER REPEAT OF TODAYS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.
GRADUAL CU FIELD DEVELOPING AND EXPANDING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
ACROSS THE REGION IN THE 14-18Z TIMEFRAME.

LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TO LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT AND REMAINING SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH SOUTHEAST DURING THE
DAY SATURDAY NEAR 5-10KTS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
DRIER DEW POINTS FLUXING/SINKING SEEMINGLY IN THE BACK DOOR FROM
THE NATURAL STATE AND HAVE TRIGGERED SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
THE LAST HOUR OR TWO AND MAYBE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS MOVING IN THE DEEP SE FLOW AT THIS TIME. OUR
SURFACE WINDS REMAIN SOUTHEASTERLY AND HEIGHTEN THE MYSTERY.
ELSEWHERE...THE SEA BREEZE IS QUITE ACTIVE COVERAGE WISE ALONG
I-10 WITH ONLY A SUBTLE DRIFT OR PUSH NORTHWARD ON REALLY MORE OF
A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW IN OUR DIRECTION. SO...WE HAVE ISSUED EARLY
WITH A PRE PERIOD MENTION FOR THE REMAINING AFTERNOON AND RADAR
COVERAGE NORTH OF I-20 OF SHOWER AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WITH PEAK OF HEATING STILL ON THE UP TICK.

ALOFT...THE WATER VAPOR IS SHOWING A NORTHWEST FLOW ABOVE WHICH
IS PERHAPS WEAKLY LIFTING THE LOW LEVEL DEEP SOUTHEAST FLOW. SO
AS A RESULT...A FEW MORE FOLKS MAY BE FORTUNATE AND COOL DOWN A
BIT LATE TODAY. THE OVERALL TREND APPEARS TO CONTINUE IN THE
MODELS WITH SOME POPS AND QPF FARTHER NORTH THAN JUST I-20 AS
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT RIGHT ON THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. LITTLE
CHANGE ON OUR TEMPERATURES WITH MOSTLY MID...BUT SOME UPPER 90S
MIXED IN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. LOW WILL CONTINUE MOSTLY IN
THE LOW TO MID 70S. THE COLD FRONT IS STILL ON TRACK FOR LATE NEXT
WEEK OVERNIGHT THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY WITH PRECIP AND NORTHERLY
WINDS. MODEL HIGHS ARE BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  97  75  96 /  20  20  20  20
MLU  73  97  73  97 /  20  20  20  20
DEQ  70  95  72  95 /  20  20  20  20
TXK  72  94  73  95 /  20  20  20  20
ELD  72  96  72  95 /  20  20  20  20
TYR  75  94  76  96 /  10  20  20  20
GGG  75  95  75  96 /  20  20  20  20
LFK  73  95  74  95 /  20  20  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

24/13


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