Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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016
FXUS64 KSHV 261717
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1217 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.AVIATION...
FOR the 25/18Z TAFS VFR conditions will continue through most of
the TAF period with CU of 5KFT to 6KFT developing during the
afternoon and persisting through the evening hours. Rain chances
will be low but could see isolated showers and thunderstorms from daytime
heating and upper-level and stalled out trough near OK/AR.
However,confidence is low due to the drier air that has filtered
into the terminal sites. Winds are out of the South to Southeast
at 5 to 10 kts before becoming light and variable around 27/10Z.
The light winds will allow MVFR vsbys to form across our E TX
terminals before lifting out by 27/15Z. /21/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1055 AM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016/

DISCUSSION...
WV imagery showing plume of dry air in place over LA/much of srn
AR this morning. Additional plume of Gulf moisture beginning to
stream into the srn LA coast in response to the ely wave currently
churning over the TX/LA coast. To our n, a few shwrs are ongoing
along a stalled boundary, which is acting to enhance diurnal
convection. For the update, have made some minor adjustments to
PoPs/sky grids due to the presence of the dry air plume over ern
LA/sern AR, but have otherwise left the grids as is. Have
considered a Heat Advisory for portions of srn AR/nrn LA, as some
sites may reach criteria today, but have held off as these
occurrences will likely be short-lived and isold. /12/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  93  76  90 /  30  50  30  50
MLU  75  89  75  89 /  30  50  30  50
DEQ  74  94  74  90 /  30  50  30  50
TXK  75  94  74  89 /  30  50  30  50
ELD  74  92  74  89 /  30  50  30  50
TYR  75  94  76  92 /  10  40  20  50
GGG  75  93  76  91 /  20  50  20  50
LFK  74  92  76  92 /  30  50  30  50

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

21/12



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