Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 270027
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
727 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

.AVIATION...
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE ON THE SURFACE AND ALOFT
TERMINAL FORECAST SITES ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA WILL HAVE VFR
FLIGHT CATEGORIES THROUGH 28/00Z FRIDAY. COULD SEE SCATTERED
CLOUDS AROUND 45 HND FEET AND A FEW HIGH CLOUDS AROUND 25 KFT
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT AND ON THURSDAY LESS THAN 7 KNOTS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA WHERE
WINDS WILL BE NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 KNOTS FROM MID DAY TO MID
AFTERNOON. /06/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 354 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AREA WIDE WITH JUST A FEW TO SCT HIGH BASED
CUMULUS OVER OUR EAST. AIR TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR NORMAL ON THE
WHOLE WITH NICE AND LOW HUMIDITY AROUND 30 PERCENT LAST HOUR.

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SPRAWL DOWN THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO
HANGING ONTO 1022 MB IN N MO. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IS OVER THE
ROCKIES LIFTING INTO CANADA AND THE DEEPENING TROUGH IS EASING
UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND. HEIGHTS ARE
STILL UP THERE OVER TEXAS...BUT MODELED TO DAMPEN AS A ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE PUSHES INTO THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST BY THE WEEKEND. GFS
AND EURO AGREE ON LOWER HEIGHTS ALOFT FOR US INTO NEXT WEEK WITH A
SHEAR AXIS AND SEA BREEZE MAKING FOR SOME RAIN OPPORTUNITIES FOR
US DURING MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

MEANWHILE...THE LONG RANGE MODELS ARE SHOWING TROPICAL MOISTURE
WILL BE POOLING ALONG THE UPPER SHEAR AXIS OVERHEAD AS ERIKA COMES
IN FOR A LANDING ALONG THE FL ATLANTIC COAST. THE TROPICAL STORM
IS GOING TO BE INVESTIGATED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS IT CONTINUES TO
MOVE TO THE WEST AT 17 MPH WITH 45 MPH WINDS AS OF 21Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  65  92  66  93 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  60  89  62  91 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  61  90  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  63  90  64  91 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  60  88  62  90 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  67  92  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  64  93  66  93 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  63  93  66  94 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06


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