Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 281834
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
134 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AND IS
CURRENTLY ALONG A KJDD/KTXK/KADF LINE. A FEW SHWRS HAVE DEVELOPED
ALONG THE FRONT...AND THESE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
FRONT THROUGHOUT THE TAF PD...AS IT MAKES ITS WAY SLOWLY SWD. MVFR
CIGS ARE LIKELY BEHIND THE FRONT...AND WILL LINGER AT A N LA AND DEEP E
TX SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE PD. IT SHOULD BE NOTED...HOWEVER...
THAT THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW LONG THE POST-
FRONTAL CLOUDS WILL LINGER. OTHERWISE...SWLY WINDS AT 5-10 KTS
WILL CONTINUE UNTIL FROPA...AFTER WHICH NLY WINDS AT 5-10 KTS WILL
TAKE OVER. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1123 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
AS OF 28/16Z...COLD FRONT IS MAKING SLOW PROGRESS SWD BUT IS STILL
JUST NORTH OF I-30. FIRST UPPER TROUGH AXIS IS LIFTING NEWD AWAY
FROM THE AREA WHICH IS ALSO LEADING TO A GRADUAL DISSIPATION OF
THE RAIN IN OUR NRN ZONES. A SECOND BAND OF SHWRS HAS DEVELOPED
ACROSS CNTRL LA AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE
EWD. A SECOND SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS UPSTREAM OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF
WRN KS/OK/TX. ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT LATER TODAY AS THIS NEXT TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

HAVE UPDATED POP AND WIND GRIDS BASED ON LATEST PRECIP TRENDS AND
FRONTAL POSITION. HAVE ALSO LOWERED MAX TEMPS BY A FEW DEGREES
GIVEN THE CLOUD COVER AND SCT PRECIP. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN
SENT. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  79  60  74  49  76 /  30  60  20  10  10
MLU  79  58  72  45  73 /  30  60  20  10  10
DEQ  71  49  75  40  73 /  50  30  10  10  10
TXK  73  54  73  47  73 /  60  40  10  10  10
ELD  73  55  72  43  72 /  60  60  20  10  10
TYR  78  57  74  49  75 /  30  30  20  10  10
GGG  77  58  74  48  75 /  30  50  20  10  10
LFK  80  63  75  53  77 /  20  30  30  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12





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