Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 300507 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1207 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE 30/06Z TAF PERIOD.
AREAS OF AC HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING ACROSS THE WRN SECTIONS
OF E TX...BUT OTHER AREAS OF AC HAVE DEVELOPED FARTHER W OVER N
TX/SE OK...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPILL ESE INTO THE REGION THROUGH
12Z WEDNESDAY. THIS...THE INCREASING CIRRUS...AND DRIER AIR IN
PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION...SHOULD INHIBIT PATCHY FG
DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT. THE AC SHOULD LOWER TO AROUND 10KFT AFTER
12Z OVER NE TX/SE OK/SW AR...AS AREAS OF CONVECTION INCREASE OVER
MUCH OF OK AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...AND N OF A
DEVELOPING SFC LOW JUST S OF THE RED RIVER OF NW TX. SHOULD SEE
AREAS OF -RA SPREAD E FROM THE AC BY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS EXTREME NE TX/SE OK/PORTIONS OF SW AR...AND HAVE
INCLUDED -RA MENTION FOR THE TXK TERMINAL ONLY FOR THE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...ANY -RA THAT FALLS SHOULD NOT AFFECT VSBYS OR
CIGS...BEFORE IT TEMPORARILY DIMINISHES FOR THE EVENING. COULD
ALSO SEE A WEAK CU FIELD DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY BENEATH THE AC
SHIELD...DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER 00Z THURSDAY. MUCH OF THE
CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN N OF THE AR TERMINALS THROUGH 06Z
THURSDAY...BUT QUICKLY SPILL SE INTO NE TX/SW AR BY 12Z.
THUS...SHOULD SEE CIGS/VSBYS POTENTIALLY IMPACTED BY THAT TIME. E
WINDS 5KTS OR LESS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SSE 5-10KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 945 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY QUIET NIGHT UNFOLDING WITH NICE DEW POINTS IN PLACE WITH
STILL LIGHT NE SFC WINDS. WE ARE SEEING A BIT MORE CLOUDS
ENCROUCHING AND HAVE ADDED SOME NUMBERS THERE. A FEW ZONE
GROUPINGS NOW READ MOSTLY CLOUDY. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
AT ANY RATE A GOOD TEST FOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO AFTER A MONTHLY
REBOOT LAST HOUR...THE VOICE IMPROVEMENT PROCESSOR CAN UPDATE SOME OF
THE PREVIOUSLY PACKAGE FEATURING HANS...OUR NWR VOICE FROM THE
PAST.

WE ARE GEARING UP FOR A LITLE MORE ACTIVITY AROUND FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS WITH THE NORTHWEST FLOW SENDING ANOTHER GOOD VORT
DOWN THE PIPE LATE THIS WEEK. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE INCREASING
TONIGHT WITH A FEW MID DECK SHOWERS POSSIBLE TOWARD DAYBREAK AND
THEN INCREASING COVERAGE INTO THE NEW DAY FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE
REGION. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  87  69  82  68 /  10  20  50  40  40
MLU  65  86  66  81  67 /  10  20  40  40  40
DEQ  65  77  64  76  64 /  10  50  80  60  20
TXK  67  82  66  77  65 /  10  50  70  60  30
ELD  64  84  65  77  64 /  10  30  50  60  30
TYR  72  88  72  82  69 /  10  20  50  40  30
GGG  71  88  71  82  69 /  10  20  50  40  30
LFK  71  93  73  89  72 /  10  20  20  40  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15




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