Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KSHV 280453
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1153 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

.AVIATION...
For the ArkLaTex, VFR with winds S 5-15KT and will become SW
during Sunday. Aloft we are SW 25-55KTS in the low levels on our
VAD. MVFR stratus will meet convection from the N before daybreak
with a cold front on approach, widespread shwrs/tstms from
09-15Z will decay. The cold front will move closer but not
through until Sunday night. So expect more dvlpmt of tstms for the
p.m. hrs. Fropa will shift surface winds and not much else early
Monday. The boundary will slowly lift back North into midweek. /24/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 943 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Surface low across Red River valley extending into eastern
Oklahoma generating severe thunderstorms across much of central
and eastern Oklahoma. HRRR model suggests bulk of the convection
to remain out of the ArkLaTex through 3 AM before a cold front
slides south across the I-30 corridor. As convection moves south
with the front, atmosphere becomes less conducive to maintain
severe thunderstorms as noted by an enhanced risk across McCurtain
county and a slight risk across much of northeast Texas and
Southern Arkansas. Current forecast is on track, no updates at
this time. /05/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 733 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017/

AVIATION...
For the ArkLaTex, VFR with a touch of haze until sunset. Winds are
S 5-15KT and will become SW for Sunday. Aloft we are SW 15-35KTS.
MVFR stratus will meet convection from the N before daybreak with
a cold front moving in our direction bringing early widespread
shwrs/tstms from 09-13Z. The cold front will move closer but not
through until Sunday night. So expect more dvlpmt of tstms for the
p.m. hrs. Fropa will shift surface winds and not much else early
Monday. The boundary will slowly lift back North into midweek./24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  75  87  69  81 /  30  40  60  40
MLU  74  89  70  81 /  20  30  60  60
DEQ  72  82  61  85 /  80  40  40  10
TXK  73  83  65  83 /  60  40  60  20
ELD  74  84  65  81 /  50  40  60  40
TYR  75  86  68  82 /  40  40  60  30
GGG  75  85  68  81 /  30  40  60  30
LFK  77  91  72  81 /  10  30  70  60

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

24/05



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.