Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 171000
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
500 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S WITH A MIX OF MOSTLY HIGH CLOUDS. THERE IS
SOME FOG AND VERY LOW CLOUDS OVER SOME OF DEEP EAST TEXAS. LIGHT
NE FLOW BISECTING THE CWA WITH A STALLED FRONT DRAPED FROM SE
OK...INTO NE LA. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT WINDS ARE CALM OR
LIGHT SE. LIGHT NW FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE WITH THE TROPICAL
RIDGE SPREADING INTO THE PLAINS AHEAD OF ODILE OVER THE SW U.S.
AND NW MEXICO WITH STILL 50 MPH WINDS AND MOVING NNE AT 6 MPH PER
THE LATEST ADVISORY.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO FEED THE REMNANT NORTHEAST AND EASTWARD IN
THE COMING DAYS. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
AND THE LEFT OVER FRONT TO PEAK SHORT TERM RAINFALL CHANCES INTO
TOMORROW. THEN...AFTER A LULL FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND...A STRONGER
COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN MORE FALL LIKE TEMPS FOR THE FIRST FULL
DAY OF FALL BY TUESDAY. THE EURO AND GFS ARE COMPARABLE WITH
EVOLUTION OF A WIND SHIFT BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING...PRE DAWN. WE
WILL CONTINUE WITH AVERAGE OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE TEMPERATURES UNTIL
THIS NEXT COLD FRONT. MAV/MEX BLENDED INTO THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH
LITTLE REASON TO CHANGE CURRENT POPS AND WEATHER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  92  73  90  68  92 /  20  20  30  10  10
MLU  90  71  90  67  92 /  10  10  30  10  10
DEQ  88  69  88  66  89 /  10  20  30  10  10
TXK  89  71  88  67  89 /  10  20  30  10  10
ELD  89  70  88  67  89 /  10  10  30  10  10
TYR  90  72  88  68  89 /  30  30  40  20  10
GGG  91  72  89  67  90 /  30  30  30  20  10
LFK  91  73  87  69  91 /  40  30  40  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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