Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 221114
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
614 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ON THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
RESULTING IN HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF SUN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY ALLOWING FOR DRYING
TO OCCUR WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WHERE
RECENT RAINS HAS NOT OCCURRED. EARLY TO MID MORNING DEW POINTS WILL
BE IN THE 60/S AND 70/S BUT BY AFTERNOON WILL MIX DOWN AND DRY
KEEPING THE HEAT INDEX VALUES TO JUST BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA
AND RANGING FROM NEAR 100 TO 105 DEGREES TODAY. WITH SLIGHTLY
HIGHER TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THE MIX OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL PRODUCE HEAT INDEX
VALUES SLIGHTLY HIGHER WITH MORE STATIONS IN THE 102 TO 105
DEGREE RANGE. BY SUNDAY THE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
100 DEGREES AND MAY PUSH THE HEAT INDEX VALUES TO ABOVE 105 DEGREES
REQUIRING A HEAT ADVISORY INTO MONDAY FOR THOSE LOCATIONS THAT
MISS OUT ON AFTERNOON RAIN. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL START TO WEAKEN
TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
SYSTEM WHILE AN UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WESTERN STATES AND
CONTRIBUTES TO THE BREAK DOWN OF THE RIDGE ALOFT FOR THE REST OF
THE MID TO LATE WEEK. MORE CLOUD COVER AND HIGHER RAIN CHANCES WILL
PROVIDE A GRADUAL COOLING THROUGH THE NEXT WEEKEND. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  96  75  98  75  99 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  95  73  98  74  99 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  95  72  97  72  97 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  96  74  97  74  98 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  95  73  97  74  98 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  97  75  98  75  98 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  96  74  98  74  99 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  97  75  98  74  98 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06





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