Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 061549
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1049 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING...AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASS TO OUR N. MORNING
STRATUS CONTINUES TO HOLD ON OVER MANY LOCATIONS...BUT VIS SAT
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT MIXING HAS ALREADY COMMENCED. HOWEVER...AREA OF
THICKER CLOUD COVER IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE PASSING UPPER
DISTURBANCE IS IN PLACE OVER SERN OK/SW AR/NE TX. THIS WILL MOST
LIKELY BE SLOWER TO MIX OUT...IF IT DOES AT ALL. HAVE MADE SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE SKY GRIDS TO MAINLY UPDATE THE TIMING OF
THINNING CLOUDS. OTHERWISE...TEMPS RUNNING IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID
80S AT MOST SPOTS AS OF 10 AM...AND THIS SHOULD PUT US RIGHT ON
PAR TO REACH OUR FCST AFTN MAX TEMPS. ALL OTHER ASPECTS OF THE
FCST FOR TODAY SEEM TO BE ON TRACK...SO WILL NOT BE MAKING ANY
OTHER CHANGES ATTM. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 720 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

AVIATION...
IFR/MVFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL START OUT THE FORECAST FOR THE
TERMINAL FORECAST SITES UNTIL AROUND MID MORNING WHEN THE CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS WILL IMPROVE. VFR CATEGORIES WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND 07/08Z WHEN MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS RETURN AND SPREAD FROM DEEP EAST TEXAS AND
LOWER NORTHWEST LOUISIANA NORTH INTO REMAINING SITES. SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY 7-14 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM MID
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...AND LOWER TO 5-10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.
/06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 500 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY NORTHWEST WITH LOW TO MID OR FEW UPPER 70S
WEST WITH COOLER UPPER 60S FAR EAST ALONG WITH LOWER DEW POINTS.
NO LIGHT FOG AROUND...BUT MAYBE SOME HAZE LATER TODAY AS HEIGHTS
BUILD AND COMPRESS THE AIR THIS AFTERNOON. EVERYTHING IS NICE AND
GREEN AND THE SOIL IS UNUSUALLY WET FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WHICH
WILL KEEP THE HEAT IN CHECK FOR A SHORT WHILE. HOWEVER...AS THE
GROUND QUICKLY DRIES OUT ON THE SURFACE...WITH THIS SUN ANGLE EVEN
THE GREEN UP WILL TRANSPIRE OUT MOISTURE QUICKLY AND MID TO EVEN
UPPER 90S ARE LIKELY TO UNFOLD IN THE LONG TERM.

A WEAK TAIL END OF A COOL FRONT WILL CLIP OUR NORTH AND NORTHWEST
TOMORROW AND WEDNESDAY UNDER A BRIEF STALL IN THE UPPER
RIDGING...WE WILL SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
OVERALL...WE ARE LOOKING HIGH AND DRY FOR A WHILE WITH A SLOW
RETURN OF ANY SEA BREEZE OR EASTERLY WAVES UNDER THE BUILDING
RIDGE COULD SET UP BY THE WEEKEND. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  93  75  92  76 /  10  10  10  10
MLU  91  74  93  75 /  10  10  10  10
DEQ  91  74  89  73 /  20  10  30  30
TXK  92  75  90  75 /  20  10  20  20
ELD  91  74  92  75 /  20  10  10  10
TYR  93  75  91  76 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  94  75  92  75 /  10  10  10  10
LFK  94  76  93  76 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12



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