


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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954 FXUS64 KSHV 272006 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 306 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 ...New DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 219 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 - Fairly normal summertime temperatures will prevail through the forecast period, but heat advisory headlines could return for some areas late in the weekend. - Daily diurnal rain chances remain, but any rain amounts should be light through the next week. - The potential for some Saharan dust arriving across the Gulf coast appears increasingly likely for next week as it often the case this time of year as the Atlantic easterlies increase. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 219 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 We have settled into a rather typical summer regime for late June, and this pattern of near/slightly above average temperatures and daily diurnal convection is expected to largely persist through the next seven days given the lack of any real frontal intrusions. With that said, a weak cool front will approach our northern zones by the early to middle part of next week but it is not expected to make much if any progress into our region. Therefore, the mostly rinse and repeat nature of the forecast will generally carry the day through this weekend as somewhat fractured upper-level ridging will allow for an uptick in rain chances mainly in southern zones for the latter half of the weekend on Sunday. This will be largely driven by the inland sea breeze push from the coast as the day progresses through the hours of peak heating on Sunday afternoon and early evening. In the meantime, rain chances will remain more limited with high temperatures each day ranging from the lower to mid 90s. Peak heat index values will continue to approach but likely remain just below heat advisory criteria through Saturday, but we may have to consider reintroducing advisory headlines for at least some parts of our E/SE zones on Sunday. Beyond the weekend, it`s still much of the same in terms of the overall pattern with the exception of that aforementioned sfc frontal boundary approaching from the north by Tuesday into early Wednesday. This boundary could serve as more of a focus for some diurnally driven convection, especially across our northern zones. Meanwhile, we may be dealing with a different seasonal challenge in our southern half as medium-range guidance continues to suggest that an advancing plume of Saharan dust caught up in the easterlies will continue to shift across the Atlantic toward our region early next week. This will definitely be something to monitor as we move through the weekend and into early next week. /19/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 A SCT to BKN cu field is established over the region this afternoon and is expected to persist. We`ll have our standard pop up convection developing by 27/21z that will continue into the early evening hours. Apart from heavy thunderstorms, conditions should stay high MVFR/VFR. Winds will become light and variable through the night. Some fog development is possible in areas that are able to have calmer winds towards sunrise tomorrow morning. /57/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 3:00 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2025 While diurnally driven convection will likely result in thunderstorms capable of producing strong wind gusts, the need for Spotter activation resulting from widespread severe thunderstorms is not likely through tonight, although any reports of strong winds or trees down would be appreciated. 33 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 77 95 77 95 / 10 10 0 20 MLU 75 94 75 94 / 10 30 10 30 DEQ 72 91 72 92 / 20 30 0 20 TXK 75 95 76 95 / 10 20 10 20 ELD 73 93 73 93 / 10 30 10 30 TYR 75 92 75 93 / 0 10 0 10 GGG 74 93 74 93 / 10 10 0 10 LFK 73 93 73 93 / 20 10 0 40 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...19 AVIATION...57