Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 281542
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1042 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.UPDATE...
Pesky cloud cover continuing to affect mainly our northwest zones
along and northwest of the I-30 corridor this morning but this
cloud cover should begin dissipating over the next few hours.
Meanwhile...large area of sky continuing across Deep East Texas
into all of Northern Louisiana attm. With further heating...should
see cu field begin developing across this area later today as
well. Latest run of the 12z NAM in coordination with the latest
HRRR suggests that scattered tstms should be just east of our
eastern most zones this afternoon/evening so have lowered pops to
slight chance variety for the remainder of the day. Kept slight
chance pops going across our western zones as well even though 12z
data suggests that if anything develops it would be very isolated
in nature.

Hourly fcst temps running a few degrees ahead of 15z observed
temps so adjusted hourly readings accordingly but did not touch
fcst max temps. Other changes included hourly dewpoint/wind/rh
grids to mimic current/fcst conditions today. Otherwise fcst is in
good shape. Update out shortly...13.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 656 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

AVIATION...
For the 28/12z TAFs, low stratus and patchy dense fog will affect
most terminals through the mid to late morning hours. The fog
should dissipate before noon local time, but cigs will be slower
to lift. Clouds should slowly scatter through the day and into the
late afternoon. A few scattered thunderstorms also cannot be ruled
out after 28/18z across portions of Southern Arkansas and Northern
Louisiana. KMLU would be the most likely TAF site to be affected.
Any convection that develops should exit the area or dissipate
after sunset. A moist airmass and very wet soils from recent
rainfall will likely lead to MVFR or lower flight conditions
overnight as low stratus and fog develop once again.

/09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  70  87  70 /  20  10  20  30
MLU  84  68  88  71 /  20  20  20  20
DEQ  84  67  87  67 /  20  20  30  30
TXK  84  68  87  69 /  20  20  30  30
ELD  84  67  88  69 /  20  20  20  20
TYR  86  71  86  69 /  20  20  30  30
GGG  86  70  86  70 /  20  10  30  30
LFK  86  70  87  69 /  20  10  20  20

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

09/13



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