Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 200847
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
347 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS WEATHER MAP SHOWED HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST
COAST WITH A TROF FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
THE TROF WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TODAY...DRAGGING A WEAK FRONT INTO
THE CWA BY THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED IN THE
UPPER LEVELS BY A SHORT WAVE TROF...POSSIBLY INITIATING A FEW
SHWRS ACROSS THE NORTHERN BORDER AREAS OF THE CWA. DRIER AIR WILL
FOLLOW BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK. NORTHEAST SURFACE
WINDS WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS AS A STRONG
RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD.

LATER IN THE WEEK...MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE ON SOLUTIONS WITH
THE NEXT TROF CROSSING THE ROCKIES. THE ECM CONTINUES BE THE OUTLIER
WITH A DEEPER SYSTEM...BUT HAS BACKED OFF ON THE MOISTURE LEVELS.
WITH LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN...WILL STICK WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES FOR THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN BACK TO A
DRY FORECAST ONCE THIS SYSTEM EXITS EAST ON FRIDAY. SOUTHERLY
SURFACE WINDS RETURN FOR NEXT WEEKEND...WITH TEMPS TRENDING TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  80  54  82  54  78 /  10  10   0   0   0
MLU  79  51  82  50  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  76  51  79  51  76 /  20  10   0   0   0
TXK  76  54  80  52  76 /  10  10   0   0   0
ELD  76  51  80  51  75 /  10   0   0   0   0
TYR  80  55  81  59  80 /  10  10   0   0   0
GGG  79  52  82  55  79 /  10  10   0   0   0
LFK  82  54  83  57  81 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14




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