Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 240804
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
304 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WITH TROUGH AXIS WELL TO THE EAST...UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST...WITH 590 RIDGE INTO EAST TX BY FRI NIGHT.
DEWPOINTS STILL IN THE MID/UPPER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF SW AR/NORTH
LA...WILL BEGIN TO RISE INTO THE 50S LATER TODAY. THIS UPPER RIDGE
WILL BRING UNSEASONAL WARMTH OF MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS IN MOSTLY DRY AIRMASS.
GFS ALSO SLOWER THAN ECMWF WITH APPROACH OF WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND THUS DELAYED ISOLD CONVECTION UNTIL TUE AFTN.
POPS TO REMAIN MOSTLY ISOLD DESPITE DECENT LAPSE RATES AND MODEST
LOW LVL WIND SHEAR...AS MOISTURE REMAINS MARGINAL. HOWEVER...ADDED
SOME 30 POPS NORTH MID WEEK WITH K INDICES REACHING INTO LOWER
30S. EVENTUALLY THIS TROUGH SHOULD SLIDE EAST OF AREA NEAR END OF
EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A RETURN TO NO POPS. KEEPING TEMPS ON THE
WARM SIDE AS THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOT APPEARING TO MAKE A SHARP
PENETRATION ACROSS THE REGION./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  79  56  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  78  52  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  79  54  85  56  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  77  57  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  76  54  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  82  59  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  80  56  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  81  56  86  58  88 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$







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