Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 290442
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1142 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
NO REAL CHANGE TO PREVIOUS THINKING CONCERNING THE 06Z TAF
PACKAGE. SOME THIN CIRRUS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE I-20 TERMINAL
LOCATIONS LATE THIS EVENING. OF ONE INTERESTING THING TO
NOTE...BOTH THE 00Z WRF OUTPUT AND THE HRRR WANTS TO GENERATE
SOME SHRA/TSRA ACROSS CENTRAL LA OVERNIGHT IN THE VICINITY OF A
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. STARTING TO SEE SOME VERY SMALL ECHOES
ON RADAR IN THIS GENERAL VICINITY ATTM BUT IF ANY DEVELOPMENT
OCCURS...IT SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR TERMINAL
LOCATIONS. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME PATCHY VERY BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS IN
THE MORNING ACROSS MAINLY THE NE TX TERMINALS WHERE MOISTURE
RETURN WILL BE A LITTLE STRONGER. OTHERWISE SHOULD SEE DESCENT CU
FIELD DEVELOPMENT ON MONDAY AS THE RETURNING BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH
LIFTS NORTHWARD.

SHOULD SEE SOME ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ON MONDAY BUT DID NOT MAKE MENTION OF THIS IN THE
06Z TAF PACKAGE. WILL BE WATCHING UP NORTH ACROSS AR/OK MONDAY
EVENING/NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN NW FLOW COULD HELP
TO GENERATE SOME WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS ARE LIGHT ATTM BUT WILL PICK UP AFTER SUNRISE FROM THE SSW
MAINLY NEAR OR LESS THAN 10KTS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 933 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
OTHER THAN SOME CIRRUS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES...CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WIND AREA WIDE. FORECAST SEEMS TO BE ON TRACK SO NO CHANGES
THIS EVENING. /14/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  94  74  91 /   0  20  30  40
MLU  70  92  74  90 /   0  20  20  50
DEQ  66  90  70  91 /   0  20  30  30
TXK  69  92  73  92 /   0  20  30  40
ELD  68  92  74  91 /   0  20  30  40
TYR  71  92  73  90 /   0  20  20  30
GGG  72  92  73  91 /   0  20  20  30
LFK  75  93  75  90 /  10  30  20  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/13



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