Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 290435
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1135 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014

.AVIATION...
MOSTLY VFR FLIGHT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 29/06Z TAF
FORECAST PERIOD. EXCEPTION MAY BE SOME BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN FOG OR
HAZE AROUND SUNRISE. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL
LOUISIANA BUT THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN WEAK AND NOT CAUSE ANY
SIGNIFICANT AVIATION CONCERNS. FOR MONDAY...EXPECT A SCATTERED TO
OCCASIONALLY BKN CU FIELD AFTER 15Z...BETWEEN 4 AND 5 KFT. /14/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 904 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A FEW LIGHT SPRINKLES CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL
LA...SO WILL LEAVE ISOLD POPS FOR THOSE SECTIONS AS IS. OVERNIGHT
LOWS APPEAR SIMILAR TO THOSE LAST NIGHT...WITH LOWS POSSIBLY
REMAINING CLOSTER TO 70 ACROSS LA...WHERE DEWPOINTS IN UPPER 60S
AND CLOUD COVER IS THICKER. THUS...NO UPDATE NEEDED ATTM./VII/.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTN GENERATING A FEW LIGHT SHWRS ACROSS PARTS OF W CENTRAL/N
CENTRAL LA. CHANCES FOR ISOLD SHWRS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
MONDAY ACROSS THESE AREAS...BEFORE THE UPPER LOW FINALLY MOVES E.

MEANWHILE...LARGE SCALE UPPER TROF OVER THE WRN CONUS WILL SHIFT
EWD THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. PRE-FRONTAL TROF WILL PROVIDE FOR SOME
RAIN CHANCES AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY AFTN INTO THURSDAY BEFORE THE
FRONT ARRIVES LATE THURSDAY. IT LOOKS LIKE A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE...AT LEAST AT THE INITIAL APPROACH
OF THE FRONT LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...AS THE SFC LOW LIFTS
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...THE ANY
POTENTIAL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH. OVERALL...THE GFS/EURO
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO TIMING OF THE FRONT/PRECIP...
WHICH IS ENCOURAGING. 1025ISH SFC HIGH WILL SLIDE INTO THE REGION
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...BRINGING SOME COOL FALL-LIKE WEATHER
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

UNFORTUNATELY...MAX TEMPS LEADING UP TO OUR LATE-WEEK COLD FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO RUN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  67  88  68  90  72 /  10  10  10  10  10
MLU  68  86  67  88  70 /  20  20  10  20  10
DEQ  60  84  61  85  66 /   0   0  10  10  10
TXK  64  84  63  87  69 /  10   0  10  10  10
ELD  63  85  65  86  68 /  10  10  10  10  10
TYR  66  88  69  91  72 /   0   0  10  10  10
GGG  65  88  67  91  71 /  10   0  10  10  10
LFK  70  90  72  91  73 /  10  10  10  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$






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