Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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771
FXUS64 KSHV 082312
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
512 PM CST MON FEB 8 2016

.AVIATION...
NORTHWEST GUSTS APPROACHING 30KTS AS LATE AS 23Z WILL QUICKLY
DECOUPLE AFTER 00Z THIS EVENING. EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN NEAR 10KTS
OR SO OVERNIGHT BEFORE THEY INCREASE ONCE AGAIN ON TUESDAY AFTER
15Z OR SO WITH SPEEDS NEAR 12-18KTS WITH GUSTS IN THE 22-30KT
RANGE. AFTERNOON CU FIELD ACROSS IN THE VICINITY OF THE ELD/MLU
TERMINALS WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE EVENING.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 212 PM CST MON FEB 8 2016/

DISCUSSION...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM...AS WINDS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO DIE DOWN UNTIL AROUND SUNSET.

NW FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER OUR REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AS AN
AMPLIFIED UPPER TROF DOMINATES THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS...AND AN
AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE WRN HALF. WITH DRY AIR IN
PLACE...TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS
THROUGH TUESDAY.

JET STREAM TO BECOME LESS AMPLIFIED AS WE MOVE INTO MIDWEEK...AND
ALTHOUGH WE WILL REMAIN UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT...LOW PRESSURE IN THE
SRN PLAINS WILL ALLOW FOR SLY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE REGION. THIS
WILL AID OUR TEMPS IN SOARING WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. HOWEVER...A DRY BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY...AND COOL US BACK DOWN TO NEAR
NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  33  54  33  60 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  33  52  31  56 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  26  51  27  57 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  31  50  30  57 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  30  51  30  55 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  33  56  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  32  55  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  31  58  34  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ARZ050-051-
     059>061-070>073.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ001>006-
     010>014-017>022.

OK...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR OKZ077.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

12/13



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