Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 231814
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1214 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOWERED AFTN WIND SPEEDS AND CANCELLED LWA. SW WINDS IN CLEAR
SKIES OVER CENTRAL TX ARE BARELY 15 TO 20 MPH...THUS DO NOT EXPECT
WINDS TO BECOME THIS STG AS CLOUDS BEGIN TO CLEAR OVER NE TX THIS
AFTN. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR WINDS BEHIND COLD FRONT AS FRONT
APPROACHES AREA THIS EVE./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1200 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

AVIATION...
LOOK FOR IMPROVING FLIGHT CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MS
RIVER VALLEY DEPARTS THE REGION. HOWEVER...MVFR CIGS WILL LIKELY
PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF N LA/SW AR THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
BEFORE SCATTERING OUT. WHILE SOME SCT STRATOCU MAY LINGER THIS
EVENING ACROSS NCNTRL LA/SCNTRL AR...LOW VFR/HIGH BASED MVFR CIGS
WILL DROP SE INTO THE REGION BY MIDEVENING...BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
THESE CIGS SHOULD REACH THE TYR/GGG/TXK TERMINALS AROUND 05Z...SHV
AND ELD AROUND 06Z...AND MLU BY 09Z. LOOK FOR THESE CIGS TO DIMINISH
FROM NW TO SE BY 12Z...CLEARING MLU BY 15Z. SW WINDS SHOULD
INCREASE TO 10-15KTS...WITH GUSTS TO 20KTS ACROSS THE WRN SECTIONS
OF E TX. WINDS WILL VEER NW 10-15KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20KTS WITH THE
FROPA. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1048 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
AREA OF RAIN HAS SHIFTED TO EAST OF I-49 WITH POSSIBLE VERY LIGHT
SPRINKLES...NOT SEEN ON RADAR...IN CLOUD SHIELD ACROSS REMAINDER
OF AREA. HAVE UPDATED TO SHIFT RAIN EAST...AND CARRY SPRINKLES BUT
WITH NO POPS AND NO QPF ELSEWHERE. BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS ABOUT TO
ENTER NE TX AND BRINGING A DECREASE OF CLOUDS WITH DRY SLOT...FROM
SW TO NE. KEEPING DAYTIME HIGHS IN MID/UPPER 70S OVER NE TX...BUT
HAVE LOWERED HIGHS NORTHCENTRAL LA AND SW/AR AND SE OK TO UPPER
60S TO AROUND 70. LAKE WIND ADVISORY BEGINS AT NOON...HOWEVER...
MAY CUT BACK ON THIS ADVISORY AT NEXT UPDATE THAT WILL BE ISSUED
JUST AFTER 12 NOON. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  44  62  37  62 /  10   0  10  10  10
MLU  71  45  62  36  60 /  70   0  10  10  10
DEQ  70  39  60  31  58 /  10  10   0   0   0
TXK  73  41  59  36  59 /  10   0  10  10   0
ELD  70  43  59  34  59 /  70  10  10  10  10
TYR  75  42  62  37  61 /  10   0   0   0  10
GGG  74  43  61  35  62 /  10   0   0  10   0
LFK  77  44  64  37  63 /  10   0   0  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

07/07





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