Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
FXUS64 KSHV 251506
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1006 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016
10 am temps in the mid 60s to around 70. Skies are sunny except
for increasing cirrus clouds expected into ne TX. With aftn temps
rising some 12 to 15 degrees from current readings, aftn highs
around 80 to the lower 80s appear on track. No update
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 608 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016/
A few concerns this morning with vsby with TXK/ELD/MLU all dealing
with some patchy ground fog with vsbys ranging from 3-1/2sm but
this should be short lived as fog should lift/burn off near 14z.
Otherwise...should see increasing cirrus shield from the west
today with BKN300 expected across most terminals by afternoon
through the overnight hours with this cirrus starting to scatter
out towards the tail end of the taf period across our NE TX
Light and variable winds this morning will become mostly east to
southeast by mid to late morning with speeds below
10kts...decoupling after sunset.
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 428 AM CDT Tue Oct 25 2016/
Water vapor imagery reveals upper ridge setting up over the middle
of the country with broad troughing exiting the east coast. At the
surface, a weak frontal boundary will continue to shift way from
our region over the SECONUS as its effects will not be felt for us
due to the encroaching ridge which has shunted the front eastward.
Very light winds and near saturation this morning has resulted in
patchy fog developing in some areas, but it is not expected to be
widespread. Any fog will quickly diminish by mid morning as south
to southeast winds kick in and temperatures quickly climb into the
afternoon, eventually topping out in the lower 80s at most areas.
By Wednesday, the next frontal boundary associated with the storm
system moving through the Pacific northwest into the Rockies this
morning will be shifting into the Plains. This front will approach
our region late Wednesday into early Thursday with a slight chance
of convection over our far northern zones, but the front will lift
back northward later on Thursday with the remainder of the region
expected to remain rain-free. This will allow for southerly winds
to prevail and allow temperatures to climb even higher into the
mid and possibly upper 80s by late week and through the weekend.
Low temperatures will also jump back to near and above normal with
upper 50s to lower 60s during the same timeframe.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 57 83 59 84 / 0 10 10 0
MLU 54 83 57 84 / 0 10 10 0
DEQ 55 80 58 83 / 0 20 20 10
TXK 57 81 59 82 / 0 10 20 0
ELD 54 81 56 81 / 0 10 10 0
TYR 60 82 61 84 / 0 10 10 0
GGG 57 83 60 84 / 0 10 10 0
LFK 57 84 59 85 / 0 0 0 0