Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 161309
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
909 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

.UPDATE...
Forecast remains on track with no significant changes
necessary this morning besides some minor PoP adjustments
over the waters in the near-term. The 12 UTC upper-air
sounding from Ruskin sampled a moist atmosphere of 1.97 inch
PW... Some showers and thunderstorms are already ongoing
off the coast of Charlotte and Lee (and now impacting some
beaches) counties, but daytime heating will also kick off
numerous showers and thunderstorms across the interior
before pushing west towards the coast this
afternoon/evening. If you have outdoor activities for
Father`s Day, be sure to monitor the weather and take
shelter if you hear thunder or see lightning off in the
distance.


&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 740 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019/

AVIATION...
East to southeast flow below 10 knots through the period,
with the west coast sea breeze eventually shifting winds
out of the northwest at coastal sites. Showers and
thunderstorms are expected to develop after 18Z and persist
through the evening. Have went ahead and introduced TEMPOS
for SRQ, PGD, FMY, and RSW due to higher confidence in these
locations. TEMPOS will likely be added to other terminals
later once convective trends have been established.


&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  87  75  88  75 /  60  40  70  40
FMY  85  74  87  75 /  70  30  70  40
GIF  90  73  87  73 /  70  30  80  30
SRQ  86  74  89  75 /  50  30  70  40
BKV  89  71  88  70 /  60  30  70  40
SPG  87  76  88  76 /  60  30  70  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...42/Norman



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