133
FXUS64 KAMA 012323
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
523 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

-Potential for light snow Wednesday night into Thursday for
 portions of the Panhandles.

-Cold front on Thursday may drop high temperatures back into the
 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

Another chilly day across the Panhandles with most locations still
in the 30s as of the latest 18Z obs. Low level CAA continues to
usher in some cold temperatures. Aided by clearing skies and
lighter winds by tonight, overnight low temperatures should drop
into the teens once again for many locations. By tomorrow, with a
deepening H500 trough over the central Rockies, this will shift
our surface winds from northerly back to southwesterly. As a
result, warmer temperatures return to the Panhandles tomorrow with
highs ranging from the mid 50s to lower 60s under mostly clear
skies.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1126 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

We continue to watch the potential for some light snow to move
into portions of the central and western Panhandles Wednesday
night into Thursday as a mid level perturbation moves SSE out of
southern Colorado. Scant moisture inflow from the
latest H850-700 theta-e analysis is not too promising for
widespread amounts. Lift near the main trough axis itself will
help the snowfall potential, in-conjunction with the main trough
axis` southerly track, we will have to watch the potential for
also some Canadian River valley effect snow as well, if moisture
in the DGZ is present. As of the latest 12-18Z model and
numerical data-sets, given the meteorological parameters,
currently about a 10-30% chance of inch of snow ending Thursday
night from a line from Amarillo to Guymon points west. Will watch
closely to see how these trends develop over the next 24-48 hours
w.r.t to snowfall amounts.

Going past Thursday into the coming weekend, dry conditions will
return with H500 WNW flow with UL subsidence persistent over the
Panhandles. After a cold front bringing temperatures well below
average for Wednesday and Thursday, temperatures will slowly
rebound closer to average towards the end of the long term
forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

VFR conditions expected to prevail through the next 24 hours.
North winds will eventually turn south and pick up to around 15 to
18 kts. KAMA may see the highest winds with gust up to 30 knots
possible after 18Z.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...36