Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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520
FXUS64 KAMA 131742
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1142 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

.AVIATION... /FOR THE 18Z TAFS/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PEAK AT
AROUND 20 KNOTS AND GUST AT OR ABOVE 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AS MIXING SUBSIDES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SHIFTING THE WINDS TO
NORTHERLY THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.

BRB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 508 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016/

DISCUSSION...
NO SIGNIFICANT DEPARTURES FROM EARLIER FORECAST.  DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED NEXT SEVEN DAYS WITH PERIODS OF ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT UNDERGOES A TEMPORARY FLATTENING TODAY...AND
THEN RESUMES SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  MID-LEVEL RIDGE PASSES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING
THURSDAY.  PASSAGE OF SHORTWAVE TROF THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY
EXPECTED TO BE FOLLOWED BY NEAR ZONAL FLOW.

DRY AIR IN LOWER LEVELS WILL NOT BE REPLENISHED BY GULF MOISTURE AS
OCCASIONAL COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES OCCUR.  DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY...AND AROUND 20 OR MORE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED TO BRIEFLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS AS DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS
INCREASE.  LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTH WINDS SUNDAY MORNING WILL
DIMINISH WHILE TRENDING TO EAST AND SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  LIGHT
NORTHWEST AND WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY.  LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS
TUESDAY MORNING WILL TREND TO EAST AND SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE AS DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE.  CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS MOST OF THE PANHANDLES
ON THURSDAY AS DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHEN FURTHER.  MODERATE
NORTHWEST WINDS ON FRIDAY MAY RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. 03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

2/17



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