103
FXUS65 KPUB 281753
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1053 AM MST Fri Nov 28 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Today is the last day for warmer temperatures until around the
  middle of next week!

- Arctic air arrives tomorrow and remains through Monday. A
  couple round of snow will accompany it as well, though
  forecast totals continue to decrease as the system approaches.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 303 AM MST Fri Nov 28 2025

Currently..

We`re in mainly westerly flow aloft as our incoming trough begins to
dig down from the Pacific Northwest as is evident on satellite
imagery. Lots of middle and upper-level cloud cover over the area
early this morning, with temperatures in the 20s for most locations.
Dewpoints are ranging from teens at Leadville to low 30s at
Springfield with the majority of other locations in the 20s.

Today and Tonight..

This will be our last warm day for the next several, so may want to
get outside if you prefer warmer temperatures for that sort of
thing! Daytime highs look to climb well into the 50s across our
plains, with some low to mid 60s across portions of the southern I-
25 corridor from around Pueblo southwards. Middle and upper-level
cloud cover looks to persist. Our plains will see mainly lighter
winds throughout the day, but the central mountains are already
starting to get gusty, and will likely see winds gusting to 40 mph
or so by this evening. Snow chances also begin by this evening for
our central mountains, as this next system makes its way into
northern Colorado through the overnight hours. Snow and blowing snow
will likely lead to hazardous road conditions for the central
mountains for all of tonight and much of tomorrow. New snow
accumulations will be generally 3 to 5 inches or so at most for our
western and northern facing slopes of the central mountains.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 303 AM MST Fri Nov 28 2025

Tomorrow..

Models drop an arctic front associated with this system across the
plains through the early morning hours of our Saturday. With this
front, we may see a dusting of new snow along the Palmer Divide,
though impactful accumulations are not expected on the El Paso
County side of the Divide at this time. Higher snowfall totals are
expected over northern Colorado with this system, so please see the
Boulder and Grand Junction AFDs if you have travel considerations up
north this weekend. The main impacts with this cold front will be
the sharp turn in temperatures, and the northerly wind gusts which
are likely to approach 45 mph at times on Saturday, especially for
El Paso, Kiowa, Bent, Prowers, and Baca Counties, where gusts are
expected to strongest. Daytime highs behind this first front are
expected to remain in the 30s across the entire plains, with low 30s
for areas along and north of Highway 50s, and mid to upper 30s south
of Highway 50. The warmest spot on our map will be the San Luis
Valley, which will not see the cold air intrusion as quickly, and
still looks to warm into the mid 40s. Snow comes to an end by mid
afternoon over the central mountains.

Saturday Night Through Monday.

Our coldest night of the season so far is expected for Saturday
night, with single digits likely over our far eastern plains, and
low teens expected elsewhere on the plains and for mountain valleys.
Our temperatures stay even colder on Sunday for our second day of
post-frontal air, as another reinforcing push of arctic air arrives
with a secondary trough pushing through later on Sunday. Daytime
highs look to stay in the 20s and 30 on Sunday, and this Arctic push
looks to bring slight better snow chances along with it, however,
the system is still moisture starved and very quick moving. Snow
looks to begin over the central mountains on Sunday afternoon,
spreading across the high country through Sunday evening. All of our
mountain ranges have decent chances at picking up 1-2 inches of or
so of new snow, and our plains even have a solid chances at a
dusting, especially near the mountains, but the system will be out
of here quickly and the snow will be lower in water content given
the source region. Meaningful moisture is not expected on the
plains, though our first wake up with fresh snowfall on the ground
will certainly be possible for Monday morning, especially near the
mountains, and for the Palmer and the Raton. Highest totals with the
Sunday night event look to be once again over the western and
northern slopes of the central mountains, where 3 to 5 inches will be
possible, and also over the San Juans, where similar amounts are
forecast. Though the snow is exciting, the temperatures will be
noticeable and potentially more impactful to most. Highs look to
remain in the 30s once again on Monday, with overnight lows dipping
back down in to the teens and single digits again on Monday night.

Tuesday Onwards..

Models push the arctic air out by Tuesday, warming most areas
back up into the 40s, and back into near normal ranges by
Wednesday. Our pattern looks to remain unsettled through next
week though, and current trends point towards more chances for
snow, especially for the high country, by mid-week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1052 AM MST Fri Nov 28 2025

KALS: VFR conditions are expected through 24 hours, with winds
remaining near or below 10 knots. Mid level clouds will be present
through most of the forecast period.

KCOS and KPUB: Diurnal winds and VFR through the rest of today and
into this evening. Winds will shift to the NW around 02-03Z as a
front moves in, properly arriving around 07-08Z or so. North winds
gusting around 25-30 knots are expected, with increasing cloud
cover. Some showers over and near the Palmer and Pikes Peak may
lower cigs at KCOS close to MVFR Saturday morning, but currently no
precipitation is expected at the terminal.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...EHR
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO