432
FXUS65 KPUB 211121
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
421 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Wx system that brought wide precip to the region moving out of
  region this morning

- Weekend weather > Nice Saturday, colder wetter (whiter)
  Sunday

- Monday mild, then colder weather moving in for mid week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 151 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

Complex weather pattern over the region as weakening.filing mid
level circulation over the region early this morning will
continua to translate to the east and weaken. A much more
potent weather system was offshore of southern California and
will gradually push inland over the US/MX coastal area and then
move east-northeast, and will move over the region during the
Sunday time period. This system promises to bring more
beneficial precip to the region starting late Saturday and
lasting into early monday. At this time high elevation snow is
likely with rain at lower elevations.

As for sensible weather, the clouds and showers over the region
early this morning will slowly push off to the northeast and gradual
improving conditions will occur later this morning over most of the
region. The far eastern plains will be last to clear, but by mid to
late afternoon conditions should improve. Overall, today should not
be too bad with max temps in the 40s and 50s over the
plains/valleys with 20s and 30s mtns. Winds will be light, with
mainly a northerly component to the sfc flow as the low over KS
continues to move to the east.

Tonight, skies will clear with lows mainly in the 20s to L30s plains
and L20s valleys. Could be some patchy fog in areas.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 151 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

Saturday will be a nice seasonable day with dry conditions and
mostly clear skies. It will be a good day to start to get into the
holiday spirit as Sunday will likely be wet and much cooler as
the Storms over Souther Cal moves over the region. This system
looks to be rather potent, but it appears that it will be
moisture-starved, and should be rather quick moving.
Nonetheless, it promises to bring widespread precip over the
region starting along the CONTDVD Sat night and across all of
the region on Sunday, moving out across the eastern plains
Sunday night. At this time snow will occur in the higher
elevations and rain on the plains. However, believe snow levels
will be lower with this storm as it is a bit colder than the
system that moved over us on Thursday. Snow amounts will are
also expected to be higher with this system, with generally 5 to
10 amounts for the higher mtns.

For Monday, expect dry weather for the region with seasonable temps.

Starting Tuesday, another trough will move in from the Pacific NW
and this system has some cold air with it, and this cold air will
move into the region Tuesday. The 60s over the plains on Monday will
be replaced by 30s and 40s on Tuesday. We could see some
passing rain/snow showers over the region on Tuesday. The cool
weather will last into Wednesday. Temperatures are expected to
warm up a bit for Thanksgiving and into the holiday weekend as
mid level ridging builds over the area. /Hodanish

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 417 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025

A Pacific weather system was moving out of the region early this
morning. Cigs were gradually improving at all 3 taf sites,
although KALS still had some snow showers and lower cigs early
this AM. Expect cigs to improve at KALS by mid morning with VFR
thereafter. At the other two taf sites, KPUB and KCOS, VFR
expected through te remainder of the fcst period.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM MST early this morning for
COZ073-075-082.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HODANISH/MW
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...HODANISH/KT