327
FXUS63 KAPX 071819
AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
219 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain-free weather continues tonight into Tuesday with lows in the
50s tonight.

- Light rain chances Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday.

- Rain-free weather through the second half of the week before
chances return again heading into the weekend.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 218 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Pattern Synopsis:

Shortwave troughing will dig across the Upper Midwest this
afternoon, eventually sliding overhead late tonight into Tuesday
with associated height falls overspreading the region. At the
surface, high pressure will remain in place tonight before weak
pressure falls work into the Great Lakes through Tuesday.

Forecast Details:

Quiet weather will persist through tonight and much of Tuesday with
aforementioned high pressure in place. Winds are expected to go calm
tonight, but belief is that high clouds spreading overhead late this
evening and overnight will prevent temperatures from cooling off as
much as they would otherwise. Still, temperatures look to dip into
the low to mid 50s for most across the Northwoods late tonight into
Tuesday morning -- and potentially getting down into the upper 40s
across interior eastern upper where less cloud cover is anticipated.
Light rain showers may limp their way into parts of northwest lower
and eastern upper Tuesday afternoon, and have included slight chance
to chance PoPs accordingly. The best chances for light rain showers
are currently expected after the short term period as somewhat
better moisture works into southern portions of the CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 218 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast Details:

Slow moving troughing looks to remain overhead Tuesday night and
Wednesday, gradually working east of the region on Thursday as
ridging slides toward the Great Lakes. Chances for light showers
will continue Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. With rain
chances coming largely from scattered showers, areas of northern
Michigan may end up staying dry through the remainder of the week --
with totals largely under 0.25" expected for areas that do see see
showers. Perhaps the best coverage of showers will come across
southern portions of the CWA in closer proximity to slightly more
favorable low-level forcing and moisture on Wednesday. Otherwise,
rain chances don`t return to the forecast until the late
Friday/Saturday time frame as the next wave looks to punch into the
Great Lakes. Temperatures are anticipated to run slightly warmer
than average heading into the middle of the month with highs in the
low to mid 80s most days through next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 116 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Lingering low level Cu will continue some localized MVFR
condtions for KAPN, KTVC, and KPLN until cloud cover clears
this evening/early tonight. The remainder of the forcast period
will remain VFR through Tuesday afternoon, with scattered high
ceilings at 25,000ft. Winds calm tonight then veer to the
southeast by Tuesday morning.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DJC
LONG TERM...DJC
AVIATION...SJC