Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 232000
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
300 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 300 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE PRECIP CHANCES TONIGHT. THERE ARE NOT
MANY HAZARDS TO WORRY ABOUT.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PROPAGATE
EASTWARD...AND A PIECE OF CIRCULATION WILL SPLIT AND MOVE THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN FA TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD BRING AT LEAST
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THESE AREAS. CLOUDS FROM THIS FEATURE
OVERNIGHT WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH PAST THE MID 50S. ON
WEDNESDAY...CLEARING WILL OCCUR FROM WEST TO EAST (WITH THE
EASTERN FA MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH A MAJORITY OF THE DAY). MAX
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RANGE FROM THE 80S ACROSS THE WESTERN FA TO
THE MID 60S ACROSS THE EASTERN FA. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND A
WARMER AIRMASS BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION WED NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

THURSDAY-FRIDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE. THIS WILL
LEAD TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKY AND TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL VALUES.

THURSDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY...THE FRI NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY PERIOD
WILL START OUT DRY WITH THE 500MB RIDGE STILL OVER THE FA. COLD
FRONT IS POISED JUST TO THE NW OF THE FA AND SHOULD SLIDE INTO
NORTHERN AREAS SAT AFTERNOON. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A SLIGHTLY COOLER
DAY ACROSS THE NORTH SAT WITH SOME LINGERING SHOWERS/TSTMS INTO
SAT NIGHT...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 2. RIDGING RETURNS
FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH MILD TEMPS. NEXT BOUNDARY APPROACHES
MON NIGHT INTO TUE SPREADING THE NEXT CHANCE OF PCPN OVER THE
AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

SOME MID CLOUDS ARE SPREADING INTO THE KFAR AREA NOW BUT ANY
SHOWERS ARE STILL A WAYS SOUTH AND SW OF KFAR YET. NOT SEEING MUCH
HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER BUT QUITE A BIT OF MID AND LOWER CLOUDS OVER
EASTERN SD. QUESTION FOR TAFS WILL BE HOW MUCH OF THESE LOWER CLOUDS
WILL HOLD TOGETHER AS THEY MOVE NORTH-NE INTO THIS FA. FOR NOW
MAINTAINED MVFR CLOUDS DEVELOPING LATE WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION
OF KDVL. ONLY MENTIONED VCSH AT KFAR/KBJI BUT KGFK/KTVF MAY BE ON
THE FRINGE AND GET A FEW.


&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TG
LONG TERM...GODON/TG
AVIATION...GODON




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