Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 261136
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
636 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 636 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

STILL HAVE SOME FOG STRETCHING FROM KFAR TO KBJI BUT THINK IT
WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS MORNING. THE MOST CLOUD COVER IS
CURRENTLY ACROSS THE SE FA BUT IT APPEARS TO BE PRETTY THIN.
FORECAST STILL IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 304 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE PCPN CHANCES DEVELOPING AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON. AS OF 3 AM...THE LEAST CLOUD COVER EXISTED OVER
THE RED RIVER VALLEY WITH SOME BANDS OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS EAST
AND WEST. CONTINUED TO SEE SOME PATCHY FOG FROM KBJI TO KFSE TO
KFAR SO WILL KEEP THAT MENTIONED THRU THE MORNING HOURS. OTHERWISE
EXPECT TO SEE QUITE A BIT OF MORNING SUN WITH LIGHT WINDS. HIGH
TEMPS TODAY SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BE A LITTLE WARMER ACROSS THE NORTH
WHERE THE WARMER 925MB TEMPS HAVE BEEN. HARD TO PICK OUT A BETTER
FOCUS AREA FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE WEAK SFC WIND
FIELD. HOWEVER THERE WERE A GOOD NUMBER OF SHOWERS/TSTMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. THINK THIS WILL BE THE CASE AGAIN WITH
MOST OF THE HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SHOWING SOMETHING DEVELOPING
AGAIN. SEEMS TO BE A LITTLE BETTER CONSENSUS FROM VALLEY CITY UP
THRU THE NORTHERN VALLEY AND POSSIBLY OVER TOWARD KDVL. EXPECT
THIS ACTIVITY TO WANE WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. SMALL BREAK
AGAIN UNTIL WED AFTERNOON. THIS TIME A WEAK COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL SLIP DOWN INTO THE NORTHERN FA AND BE A SLIGHTLY BETTER FOCUS
AREA FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/TSTMS...ALSO KEEPING IT A LITTLE
COOLER THERE.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 304 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

PCPN CHANCES SHOULD PICK BY WED NIGHT AND THU AS A MID LEVEL WAVE
LIFTS INTO THE FA. KEPT THE BEST PCPN CHANCES FOR THE SHORT TERM
WITH THIS PERIOD AND MAY HAVE TO INCREASE CHANCES EVEN MORE WITH
LATER FORECASTS. MAIN OTHER THING OF NOTE IS A COLD FRONT THU
NIGHT WHICH WILL RESULT IN COOLER FRI MORNING LOWS.

FOR FRI THROUGH MON...FRIDAY WILL SEE MUCH COOLER AIR INVADE THE
AREA WITH NORTH WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE DROPS SOUTH. HIGH PRESSURE
AND DRY AIR OVER THE AREA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. LOWS SATURDAY MORNING THE COLDEST WITH MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL SEE WARMER TEMPS RETURN ALONG WITH
A SMALL RISK OF SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 636 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

WINDS AT ALL THE TAF SITES EXCEPT KDVL SHOULD BE PRETTY LIGHT
TODAY. AT KDVL THEY SHOULD KEEP A NW COMPONENT. EXPECT SOME
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED TSTMS TO DEVELOP WITH THE HEATING OF THE
DAY...THEN DISSIPATE IN THE EVENING. SHOULD BE PRETTY HIT AND
MISS SO WILL ONLY GO WITH VCSH AT THE TAF LOCATIONS.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...GODON
SHORT TERM...GODON
LONG TERM...GODON/RIDDLE
AVIATION...GODON



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