000
FXUS63 KICT 110858
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
258 AM CST WED DEC 11 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 AM CST WED DEC 11 2013

TODAY WILL BE A RETURN TO COLD BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS POLAR
AIRMASS SPREADS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION. THE COLD TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SHORT-LIVED...AS WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS ON THURSDAY
PROVIDES A NICE BOOST TO DAYTIME HIGHS. SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF NEXT
UPPER WAVE WILL RAMP UP THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN THURSDAY
NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO LOW STRATUS AND POSSIBLE FOG FORMATION
BUT NOT EXPECTING DENSE FOG WITH LOW LEVELS RATHER MIXED. PRECIP
TYPE WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR FRIDAY MORNING AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. WE COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY
MORNING OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS BEFORE A QUICK TRANSITION TO ALL
LIQUID DUE TO STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION. THE PRECIP COULD SWITCH
BACK OVER TO WINTER TYPE PRECIP FRIDAY NIGHT AS COLDER AIR SURGES
SOUTHWARD BACK INTO KANSAS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 AM CST WED DEC 11 2013

IT WILL BE A COLD START TO THE WEEKEND WITH POLAR AIR IN PLACE BEHIND
DEPARTING WEATHER SYSTEM FOR SATURDAY. OTHERWISE A PLEASANT
WARMING TREND LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FOR KANSAS STARTING ON SUNDAY
AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS ACTUALLY
GOING ABOVE NORMAL FOR A CHANGE.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST TUE DEC 10 2013

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
OVERNIGHT. WHILE THE MAIN THEME WILL BE A WIND SHIFT WITH VFR
CONDITIONS...A BRIEF PERIOD OF TRANSIENT FOG IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WOULD OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS
WHERE STRONGER RADIATIONAL COOLING HAS TAKEN PLACE THIS EVENING.
THIS WILL COMBINE WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX IN PROXIMITY
TO SNOW COVER JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE TO
INDICATE A TEMPO GROUP FOR MVFR VSBYS AT KCNU FOR A FEW HOURS
BEFORE DAWN.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    29  12  45  29 /   0   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      27  13  48  28 /   0   0   0  10
NEWTON          26  12  45  28 /   0   0   0  10
ELDORADO        27  11  45  29 /   0   0   0  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   31  10  45  30 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELL         22  13  49  22 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      26  13  49  23 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          22  11  46  25 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       25  13  47  27 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     27   9  42  30 /   0   0   0  10
CHANUTE         27  10  41  29 /   0   0   0  10
IOLA            26  10  40  28 /   0   0   0  10
PARSONS-KPPF    28   9  41  30 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$