Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 212332
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
532 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 228 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Tonight:
Clear & cold weather for all areas as strong high pressure spreads
& moves almost due S across KS. Excellent radiational cooling
dictates lowering mins ~3F in nearly all areas.

Rest Of The Week:
A strong (though deamplifying) upper-deck ridge will spread E over
the Northern Plains & likely reach Ontario Thu Night as a compact,
positively-tilted shortwave scoots E across the Dakotas Thu Night
& Fri. The shortwave would induce lower-deck troffing from the
northwestern plains to CO/NM. The onsetting S/SW flow would induce
pronounced warming Thu & Fri with record highs easily in reach for
most of Central & South-Central KS on Fri. As the sharp short-wave
surges SE across the Upper/mid MS Valley Fri Night it will send a
weak cold front SE across KS Fri Night. Airmass is dry, so no more
than the customary wind shift would signal the front`s arrival and
passage.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 228 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Next Weekend:
All remains quiet as a high amplitude upper ridge moves E from the
Rockies to the Northern & Central Plains, while the downstream mid
to upper wave deepens rapidly while it crosses the Appalachians.

Mon-Tue:
The next mid-upper shortwave will drive the afore-mentioned ridge
across Eastern North America. The resulting & rapidly developing
lower-deck trof would produce warmer weather

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 532 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

VFR conditions will persist the next 24 hours. The north winds in
wake of a cold front will slacken this evening as high pressure
moves south over the region. Winds will shift back to the
south/southwesterly Wednesday.

Ketcham

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    20  49  34  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      18  50  35  66 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          16  48  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        19  47  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   19  48  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         16  57  38  68 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      17  56  38  68 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          18  51  37  66 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       15  50  34  65 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     20  46  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         20  45  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            18  44  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    20  46  32  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EPS
LONG TERM...EPS
AVIATION...Ketcham



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