981
FXUS63 KICT 262304
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
604 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Mon Sep 26 2016

Tranquil weather will continue over central and eastern Kansas with
the main challenge being how much cooling behind the mid-week
frontal passage. The large vortex/upper low over southern
Ontario/northern Great Lakes will continue to influence the weather
over mid-America as it gradually sinks southward across the Ohio
Valley. This will result in a secondary push of even cooler Canadian
air southward across Kansas during Wednesday. Milder westerly
component low level flow will develop ahead of the mid-week front on
Tuesday with maxs back a little above seasonal climo. The leading
edge of the cooler air will advect over the area during Wednesday
though the more noticeable change in airmass should be felt
Wednesday night into Thursday. Lack of moisture will preclude much
more than a few clouds along or behind the front with no precip
expected.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Mon Sep 26 2016

Main challenge over the CONUS will be the handling of the closed
upper low which becomes cut-off over the Ohio Valley late in the
week and its eventual upstream kicker being a full latitude upper
trof moving into the western CONUS over the weekend. This will
generally place Kansas near the mean upper ridge between these
two features late in the week and into much of the weekend. So
will continue the dry and seasonably mild forecast. Some chances
for precip look reasonable by Monday if the eastern progression of
the western CONUS upper trof holds as advertised.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 604 PM CDT Mon Sep 26 2016

VFR conditions forecast at all sites throughout period. Light and
variable winds tonight with weak wind shift moving through most
sites during day on Tuesday. -Howerton

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    50  82  56  78 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      49  83  55  77 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          50  81  55  76 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        49  81  55  76 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   50  81  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         49  83  53  77 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      49  84  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          50  83  54  76 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       49  82  54  76 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     48  81  54  78 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         48  80  54  75 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            48  79  54  73 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    48  80  54  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...PJH