Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 211144
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
544 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 237 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

Current satellite water vapor imagery shows strong upper jet energy
diving into the southwestern states. This jet energy will spread
eastward across the Rockies today and create a rapidly deepening
upper level system over Texas/Oklahoma for tonight. Rain will
develop over the Texas panhandle and western Oklahoma today, then
spread northeast towards the Oklahoma/Kansas border areas for late
this afternoon. The strong upper level forcing should push a
decent coverage of rain into mainly southern Kansas tonight.

The upper level system will move away from the region on Sunday with
rain chances tapering off across southeast Kansas Sunday morning and
clearing skies in its wake. Dry weather conditions will follow
along with above normal temperatures Sunday and Monday.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 237 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

Models have remained fairly consistent showing the next weather
system ejecting out into the central plains on Tuesday and deepening
along with a strong surface cyclone. The better upper level forcing
looks to remain north of Kansas on Tuesday with only some small
precipitation chances possible for central Kansas Tuesday/Tuesday
night. Colder air will spread southward on Wednesday with some
flurries possible over central Kansas as upper trough axis pivots
across the region. Dry weather and temperatures near normal expected
for the Thursday/Friday period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 532 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

VFR conditions will dominate the region today as sunny skies will
prevail. A new weather system will begin to encroach on the
region this afternoon which will bring in an overcast deck to the
Southern portions of the CWA. Showers will become likely by the
late afternoon and overnight. ICT and CNU are the most likely
areas to get showers and some patchy fog as well late this
afternoon and into the evening. HUT could see some showers after
midnight. The remaining terminals (SLN, RSL and GBD) will likely
remain in VFR conditions while ICT and CNU will likely fall to
MVFR conditions by the late afternoon and evening time frame.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    55  39  53  29 /  10  40  10   0
Hutchinson      54  36  52  27 /  10  30   0   0
Newton          55  36  50  28 /  10  30   0   0
ElDorado        56  38  51  29 /  10  40  10   0
Winfield-KWLD   58  40  53  29 /  10  60  10   0
Russell         53  32  51  25 /  10  10   0   0
Great Bend      53  33  51  26 /  10  20   0   0
Salina          53  34  52  26 /   0  10   0   0
McPherson       54  35  51  27 /  10  20   0   0
Coffeyville     62  43  54  30 /  10  80  40   0
Chanute         59  40  51  29 /  10  60  30   0
Iola            58  40  50  28 /  10  60  20   0
Parsons-KPPF    60  42  52  29 /  10  70  40   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...ELM


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