Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
FXUS63 KEAX 211127
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
627 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016
Issued at 322 AM CDT FRI OCT 21 2016
Cool temperatures are firmly in place this morning, with areas of
frost likely to soon form across northern Missouri where calm winds
and clear skies have allowed readings to fall into the middle 30s.
Only a slight warmup is expected today, with highs reaching the
upper 50s to lower 60s. As surface high pressure slides south to the
northern Gulf, southerly winds will return with temperatures warming
into the upper 60s to middle 70s over the weekend. A weak cold front
will pass through the forecast area on Sunday afternoon, with
slightly cooler temperatures expected on Monday as high pressure
influences our weather.
As the high shifts eastward, deeper moisture will advect back into
the area ahead of an upper wave on Tuesday. Sufficient forcing,
instability, and shear will exist for thunderstorms to develop along
a cold front Tuesday night. The current timing of the cold frontal
passage would place the greatest threat of strong to severe weather
west of the forecast area Tuesday afternoon. Dry weather follows in
behind the front on Wednesday, but temperatures will only slightly
cool thanks in part to the Pacific maritime origin of the upper
.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 617 AM CDT FRI OCT 21 2016
Reduced vis/cig at STJ for a couple more hours as shallow river fog
remains in place. Thereafter, VFR conditions are expected with a
return to southerly winds through the period.
KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for KSZ102.
MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for MOZ001>008-