Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 051145 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
545 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/ VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT
WINDS BACKING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND REMAINING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST.

CLK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 247 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH TO EXIT THE PANHANDLES TODAY ALLOWING FOR A DRY
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW TO PREVAIL TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SHORTWAVE
RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY BEFORE AN
OPEN WAVE MOVES ACROSS WEST TEXAS LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. SURFACE TROUGH/COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY...HOWEVER NOT MUCH CHANGE IN TEMPS FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF
THIS SURFACE BOUNDARY. BEST UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AND SURFACE MOISTURE
SHOULD REMAIN EAST AND SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLES...THEREFORE DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SURFACE TROUGH
DEVELOPS ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS
DOWNSLOPING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BRING MUCH ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS TO
THE PANHANDLES.

UNDERCUT MOS GUIDANCE ON HIGHS TODAY AND AGAIN FRIDAY DUE TO
SNOWPACK WHICH SHOULD BE GONE BY THE END OF THIS WEEK OR THE WEEKEND.
ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ALSO...DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PACKAGE.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

05/11





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