Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 261029
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
529 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
For this morning, have included mention of fog across central and
eastern OK Panhandle as well as far northeast Texas Panhandle as
low level moisture has increased enough via east and southeast
winds that temp-dewpoint depressions are around 2 degrees or less.

Otherwise, the next storm system on the docket is slated to move
across the srn high plains today on a track north of our forecast
area. Short range models continue suggest the primary
precipitation shield will likely remain just north and east of the
TX and OK Panhandles. Have have opted to retain pops for today
across the OK Panhandle and far northern Texas Panhandle as this
area will be closest to this fast moving upper level storm system.
In addition, the associated cold front will make its way across
the forecast area today with northwest to north winds in its wake,
likely reaching into the breezy category at times.

A short break in the active weather pattern is anticipated
Monday. Another vigorous upper level low pressure system is
forecast to impact the srn high plains Tuesday through Wednesday
night. The 00Z medium range models continue to struggle on the
projected path and speed of this particular storm system.
Therefore, have continued to lean towards a model consensus with
all weather elements associated with this storm system pending
better model agreement.

Finally, medium range models continue to indicate yet another
upper level low pressure system possibly affecting the OK and TX
Friday night into the weekend, the details of which have yet to be
ironed out. Will note that models are offering different solutions
in handling this particular storm system as well, so have trended
towards a model consensus solution this far out in time.

Andrade

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will likely develop across the
southern Texas Panhandle this afternoon due to 20 foot west to
northwest winds of 15 to 20 mph with some higher gusts along with
forecast minimum relative humidity values between 15 and 20
percent. Neither elevated nor critical fire weather conditions are
expected from Monday through Saturday as minimum relative humidity
values are forecast to remain above 20 percent during this time
period.

Andrade

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                74  38  71  45  66 /   5   5   0   0  60
Beaver OK                  68  38  70  43  64 /  20  20   0   0  70
Boise City OK              61  35  69  42  62 /  20   5   0   5  60
Borger TX                  73  41  72  48  66 /   5   5   0   0  70
Boys Ranch TX              72  36  72  43  65 /   5   5   0   0  60
Canyon TX                  74  37  71  44  66 /   0   0   0   0  60
Clarendon TX               78  41  73  46  68 /   0   5   0   0  60
Dalhart TX                 67  35  71  42  64 /  10   5   0   0  60
Guymon OK                  67  37  70  43  63 /  20  20   0   0  70
Hereford TX                74  36  72  43  66 /   0   0   0   0  60
Lipscomb TX                74  41  71  45  66 /  20  20   0   0  70
Pampa TX                   74  40  71  45  66 /   5   5   0   0  70
Shamrock TX                79  43  72  46  68 /   5   5   0   0  60
Wellington TX              81  44  74  48  70 /   5   5   0   0  60

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$


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