National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
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FXUS64 KAMA 062033
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
232 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS TONIGHT...BUT THEN CLEARING FOR MOST OF THE
DAY ON FRIDAY.  CLOUDS INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT IN POST-
FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT.  WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH
HIGHS ON SATURDAY IN THE LOWER- TO MID-40S.

HAVE RETAINED BASIC POP STRUCTURE FROM EARLIER FORECAST...WITH FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING OFFERING THE BEST OPPORTUNITIES FOR
PRECIPITATION.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW QUICK ERADICATION OF ANY WARM
LAYER ALOFT...SUGGESTING THAT FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET SHOULD NOT OCCUR
FOR ANY LENGTH OF TIME.  COLD AIR MOVES IN FROM NORTH...WITH SNOW
BEING POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING.
TOTALS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ONE INCH MOST AREAS...WITH THE
NORTHWEST CORNER OF COMBINED PANHANDLES POSSIBLY REACHING OR
EXCEEDING ONE INCH.  PRECIPITATION MAY LINGER ACROSS SOUTHEAST HALF
OF FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS VARY IN LATER PERIODS...BUT HAVE FOLLOWED ECMWF WITH TUESDAY
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.  HAVE SPREAD LOW POPS TUESDAY NIGHT A BIT
FARTHER SOUTH...WITH RAIN OR SNOW POSSIBLE.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE
EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.  ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS
PANHANDLE.  NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXECTED SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                42  72  29  43  27 /   0   5  50  30   0
BEAVER OK                  39  58  30  42  29 /   0  10  40  40   0
BOISE CITY OK              38  60  29  43  24 /   0  20  50  20   0
BORGER TX                  47  67  30  43  29 /   0  10  50  30   0
BOYS RANCH TX              44  72  33  45  28 /   0  10  50  20   0
CANYON TX                  41  72  30  44  27 /   0   5  40  20   0
CLARENDON TX               38  73  32  44  29 /   0   5  40  30   0
DALHART TX                 38  65  30  43  24 /   0  20  40  20   0
GUYMON OK                  39  58  30  43  27 /   0  10  50  30   0
HEREFORD TX                40  71  31  45  27 /   0   5  40  20   0
LIPSCOMB TX                38  65  33  41  28 /   0   5  50  40   0
PAMPA TX                   43  69  30  41  29 /   0   5  50  40   0
SHAMROCK TX                37  69  35  43  29 /   0   5  30  40   0
WELLINGTON TX              36  74  36  45  29 /   0   5  20  30   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

05/03
National Weather Service National Headquarters
