Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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164
FXUS64 KAMA 250531
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1231 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

.AVIATION...
06Z Issuance...VFR conditions expected through the period for all
sites. Southerly winds will begin turning more westerly overnight
and will increase with gusts between 25 and 30kts after 15Z.

Beat

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 342 PM CDT Wed May 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Noteworthy items for this forecast package are somewhat limited. In
the near term, certainly Thursday`s high temperatures are noteworthy
as we should be about 10-15 degrees above normal for this time of
year. Outside of tomorrow we have several chances for rainfall in
the extended but nothing looks too promising. Saturday night is
probably our best chance for rainfall.

Tomorrow is setting up to be a warm day across the Panhandles. Clear
skies and westerly wind speeds will help us reach the 90s across
the Panhandles. Wind speeds will be breezy tomorrow behind a
dryline and western zones will reach 30 mph with gusts closer to
40 mph. These westerly/southwesterly wind speeds will really aid
with temperatures warming up into the 90s with some areas close to
100 degrees. It will also be very dry in central and western parts
of the Panhandles with most areas in the low teens to about 10
percent for relative humidity values.

In the upper levels, the flow pattern aloft is not really looking
too great in regards to any dynamic support for rainfall. The
best support in the upper levels will be Saturday night. GFS
ensemble for probability of 0.10" of rainfall over a 12 hour
period is best for our northern areas on Saturday night, but still
not overly confident in these chances. Outside of this, the other
chances for rainfall are small, but Tuesday is probably the next
okay chance for rainfall for our western zones. That all being
said, chances for rainfall in the extended are not overly
impressive with the lack of moisture and upper level support.

Guerrero

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

16/3



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