Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 150933
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
333 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
An upper ridge will build in from the west through Thursday with
a closed upper low forecast to dig south today over northwest
Mexico and then track east across Mexico Thursday. The closed
upper low is then forecast to lift north and east into southwest
Texas Thursday night and then across northwest Texas Friday. No
precipitation is expected with the upper low Friday and Friday
night across the Panhandles. The closed upper low should then
track east along the Red River Valley Saturday. Cold front should
push across the Panhandles by late Friday or Friday night.

Upper ridge then builds in over the Panhandles Saturday but
another southern stream closed upper low tracks east from Baja
California into Mexico Sunday and Sunday night. The slower timing
of this second closed upper low by the medium range models suggest
a later timing on the onset of precipitation, possibly as early
as Sunday afternoon or Sunday evening, and then continuing into
Monday. Isolated to scattered convection should develop by Sunday
afternoon or evening and then continuing into Sunday night before
ending from west to east across the eastern portions of the
forecast area Monday. Although still too early to be certain, not
expecting any severe weather at this time from the convection but
conditions could possibly change by the end of the week or early
this weekend. Surface trough to track across the Panhandles Sunday
night with a cold front expected by late Monday or Monday evening.

Schneider

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                56  31  68  34  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  58  31  72  32  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              59  30  69  30  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  58  33  71  36  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              59  28  71  31  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  57  29  67  33  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               56  31  69  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 58  29  70  29  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  60  31  71  32  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                57  29  67  33  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                58  32  71  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   55  32  68  35  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                57  31  69  35  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              58  31  69  36  71 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

15/11



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