Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KAMA 260913
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
413 AM CDT SUN JUL 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
EARLY MORNING CONVECTION PERSISTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND FAR WESTERN
PANHANDLES BUT SHOULD...LIKE YESTERDAY...BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND
DISSIPATE BEFORE 12Z TODAY. ISOLATED MAY STILL LINGER PAST 12Z
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...SO
WILL INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS. UPPER HIGH OVER THE PANHANDLES TODAY
WILL SHIFT EAST BY MONDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AND SHOULD
REBUILD BACK TO THE WEST AGAIN BUT OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION LATE
THIS WEEK. A COLD FRONT OVER THE PLAINS STATES AND CENTRAL ROCKIES
EARLY THIS WEEK SHOULD PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. CONVECTION TODAY AND TONIGHT
WILL BE CONFINED TO THE FAR NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
PANHANDLES AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER HIGH. NEAR OR
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MOS GUIDANCE BEEN RUNNING
SOME 3 TO 4 DEGREES TOO HIGH THE PAST COUPLE OR FEW DAYS...SO
ADJUSTED MAX TEMP GRIDS ACCORDINGLY.

ON MONDAY...CONVECTION SHOULD BE CONFINED MAINLY TO THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES JUST WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE PANHANDLES.
COMBINATION OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA ON
TUESDAY ALONG WITH THE UPPER HIGH SHIFTING FURTHER EAST AWAY FROM THE
PANHANDLES WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING CHANCES FOR CONVECTION BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. CONVECTION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS AS SURFACE
RIDGE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST AND ALLOWS FOR A SLIGHTLY COOLER
AND MORE MOIST UPSLOPE SURFACE FLOW. UPPER TROUGH EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE PANHANDLES FROM THE WEST AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

AS THE UPPER BUILDS BACK OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION LATE THIS WEEK
AND THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND...DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
THE END OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD ON SATURDAY. ONLY CONCERN
WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF AN NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW WHICH COULD
ALLOW CONVECTION TO SPREAD SOUTHEAST INTO THE PANHANDLES BY SATURDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                95  70  94  69  93 /   5   5   5   5   5
BEAVER OK                  98  72  98  73  98 /  20  20   5   5  20
BOISE CITY OK              97  69  96  67  94 /  20  20  10  10  20
BORGER TX                  98  74  97  74  97 /  10  10   5   5  10
BOYS RANCH TX              99  74  98  71  97 /  10  10   5   5  10
CANYON TX                  96  69  96  68  94 /   5   5   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               97  71  96  70  95 /   5   5   5   5   5
DALHART TX                 99  69  98  68  97 /  20  10   5   5  20
GUYMON OK                  99  72  98  71  99 /  20  20   5   5  20
HEREFORD TX                96  69  95  67  94 /   5   5   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                99  72  99  75  98 /  20  10   5   5   5
PAMPA TX                   94  71  95  69  94 /   5   5   5   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                98  71  97  71  97 /   5   5   5   0   5
WELLINGTON TX              99  72  98  71  98 /   0   5   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.