Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 151149

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
549 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2018

12z TAF Cycle:

VFR conditions expected through period with prevalent mid and
high level clouds. Some low level wind shear is possible at all
terminals through about mid morning when surface wind begin
increasing. Southwest winds will increase to around 20 knots this
afternoon with gusts to 30 knots. A cold front will advance
through the Panhandles this evening shifting winds to the north at
15-25 knots gusting around 25-35 knots through the end of the
period. Can`t rule out some MVFR stratus behind the front, but
keeping the deck scattered until better confidence is achieved.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 521 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2018/

Above normal temperatures are once again in the forecast for
today in advance of a cold front. Extensive mid and high level
clouds will also prevail courtesy of upper level broad southwesterly
flow pulling high level moisture northeast from the subtropics.

The above mentioned cold front will approach the OK Panhandle late
this afternoon and sweep southward across the Texas Panhandle this
evening and tonight with gusty north winds in its wake for several
hours. Much cooler temperatures are then expected Friday before
quickly rebounding this weekend into next Monday. A weakening
upper level shortwave trof is progged to move across west Texas
Friday and Friday night on a track that keeps the main
precipitation shield well south of the OK and TX Panhandles.
Retained a sliver of slgt chc pops Friday night for light rain
across the extreme southeast Texas Panhandle. Otherwise, no
mentionable pops through next Wednesday. Medium range models
suggest another cold front will likely impact the area Monday
night, leading to cooler temperatures for Tuesday and Wednesday.


Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon
across the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles due to 20 foot southwest
to west winds of 15 to 25 mph with some higher gusts along with
forecast minimum relative humidity values near 20 percent. Winds
are expected to become northwest to north near 15 mph across the
central and eastern Oklahoma Panhandle late this afternoon as a
cold front approaches the area. Elevated fire weather conditions
area also expected across much of the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles on Sunday and Monday.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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