Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 052119
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
319 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

...COOL AND DRY THROUGH MONDAY FOLLOWED BY WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK...

.DISCUSSION...WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH AN ASSOCIATED MOSTLY DRY COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLES THIS EVENING RESULTING
IN CLEARING SKIES AND GRADUALLY DECREASING NORTHERLY WINDS. LEE SIDE
TROUGHING IS FORECAST TO SET UP IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO ON SATURDAY
WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE. ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON SUNDAY WITH
BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL BE IN THE LOWER 50S NORTHWEST
TO NEAR 60 SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY AND MID 40S NORTHWEST TO MID 50S
SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST DURING THE WORK WEEK NEXT WEEK CAUSING PERSISTENT
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT FOR THE REGION. THIS RIDGE WILL ALSO RESULT
IN A WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS STARTING IN NEAR 50 ON MONDAY...MID 60S
ON TUESDAY...AND THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70 WEDNESDAY AS WELL AS
THURSDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECASTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.

BIEDA

&&

.AVIATION...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...18Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA...THOUGH SOME MVFR OR LOW END VFR
CLOUDS COULD SNEAK INTO KDHT OR KGUY THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF
THAT...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. GUSTY NORTH
WINDS WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING AND SHIFT TO BECOME MORE
NORTHWESTERLY. EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL SHIFT
SOUTHWESTERLY ACROSS THE PANHANDLES.

ELSENHEIMER


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY. HOWEVER...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS PANHANDLE. A LEE SIDE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP WEST OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE RESULTING IN DOWNSLOPE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST BETWEEN 10
TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DRIER
CONDITIONS WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES POTENTIALLY FALLING TO
AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY OVER THE
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE. NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK AT THIS
TIME.

BIEDA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                44  22  58  29  52 /   5   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  44  21  58  28  49 /   5   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              42  17  56  26  46 /  10   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  45  23  58  31  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              47  21  59  28  53 /   5   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  45  21  59  28  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               46  24  58  32  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 44  19  57  29  51 /   5   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  44  20  57  28  48 /   5   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                45  21  59  28  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                46  23  57  30  53 /   5   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   45  24  57  31  51 /   5   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                50  25  57  31  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              52  26  59  30  57 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

18/98


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