Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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049
FXUS64 KAMA 231046
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
446 AM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A combination of very strong winds and low relative humidity values
will produce extremely critical fire weather conditions today
across the panhandles of both Texas and Oklahoma. A High Wind
Warning, Wind Advisory, and a Red Flag Warning are all in effect
today given the strong winds and dry conditions. Please see the
latest products for more information on timing and impacts.

Forecast soundings this afternoon are showing deep mixing and clear
skies. We should have no problem tapping into the stronger winds
aloft and mixing these down to the surface. The stronger wind speeds
will be across western parts of both the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles. This is where the High Wind Warning will be located.
Central parts of the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles will be under a
Wing Advisory. Overall its going to be very windy day, and these
strong southwest winds will be advecting drier air in which will
result in single digit relative humidity values across much of the
Panhandles. As a result, all of the Panhandles will be under a Red
Flag Warning due to extremely critical fire weather conditions, and
confidence is very high these conditions will be met today. Extreme
caution should be used today when dealing with anything that could
potentially start a fire because one could become explosive very
quickly.

Between Friday and Tuesday each day there will be at least the
possibility for elevated fire weather conditions. Otherwise, beyond
fire weather threats, temperatures will be near normal to above
normal. Dry conditions are forecast through the extended as well.
There is a small chance our eastern zones could see some
precipitation Sunday/Sunday night but chances for rain appear better
east of the panhandles.

Guerrero

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Extremely critical fire weather conditions will exist today across
the Panhandles. In the mid-levels, a combination of a thermal ridge
due to warm air advection, and strong southwesterly flow will create
conditions at the surface conducive to explosive fire growth as we
mix out this afternoon. In addition, the air aloft is also dry as
well as the surface. Overall a very dry airmass will be in place
tomorrow with very strong winds, especially western parts of the
Panhandles. Confidence is very high for these conditions to be met
today.

Guerrero

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                80  33  53  22  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  81  31  46  21  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              68  25  44  18  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  80  34  54  22  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              74  31  54  21  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  79  33  56  22  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               83  36  56  26  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 70  27  50  19  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  75  30  48  20  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                76  31  56  22  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                81  34  51  22  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   82  33  49  23  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                83  38  54  26  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              84  40  56  27  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Red Flag Warning from 10 AM this morning to 9 PM CST this
     evening for the following zones: Armstrong...Carson...
     Collingsworth...Dallam...Deaf Smith...Donley...Gray...
     Hansford...Hartley...Hemphill...Hutchinson...Lipscomb...
     Moore...Ochiltree...Oldham...Potter...Randall...Roberts...
     Sherman...Wheeler.

     Wind Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CST this evening for the
     following zones: Armstrong...Carson...Donley...Gray...
     Hansford...Hutchinson...Ochiltree...Roberts.

     High Wind Warning from noon today to 7 PM CST this evening for
     the following zones: Dallam...Deaf Smith...Hartley...
     Moore...Oldham...Potter...Randall...Sherman.

OK...Red Flag Warning from 10 AM this morning to 9 PM CST this
     evening for the following zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

     Wind Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CST this evening for the
     following zones: Texas.

     High Wind Warning from noon today to 7 PM CST this evening for
     the following zones: Cimarron.


&&

$$



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