Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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685
FXUS64 KAMA 121034
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
434 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR DEPARTURES FROM EARLIER FORECAST.  DRY STRETCH OF WEATHER
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.  FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS RETURN
BRIEFLY ON SATURDAY...AND MORE SO ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  DETAILS
ADDRESSED IN FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRENDS TO MORE ZONAL TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS
WESTERN CONUS RIDGE CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY.  DRY NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT RESUMES SUNDAY AS NEXT WESTERN RIDGE TAKES SHAPE.  SHORTWAVE
TROF PASSES ON SUNDAY NIGHT.  WESTERN RIDGE FLATTENS AND TRANSLATES
EAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW RESUMES
THURSDAY AS NEXT POTENTIALLY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROF OR CLOSED LOW
MOVES ASHORE.  IN SPITE OF COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES SATURDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY NIGHT...DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL AS FEW CLOUDS ARE ANTICIPATED.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
LIGHT NORTH WINDS THIS MORNING BECOME EAST AND SOUTHEAST BY THIS
EVENING.  SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
WITH BRIEFLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR
WESTERN SECTIONS.  LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTH...NORTHWEST...AND
NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY
RESPECTIVELY WITH NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED.  SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS RESUME ON WEDNESDAY...WITH
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE PANHANDLES.  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY ACROSS ALL OF THE PANHANDLES...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
PANHANDLES AS DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE FURTHER.  03


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                63  29  64  38  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  56  26  53  32  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              60  30  66  36  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  63  29  60  40  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              66  30  68  36  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  63  30  65  38  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               64  30  60  39  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 64  30  67  35  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  59  29  62  36  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                65  30  66  37  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                58  27  53  37  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   62  28  57  38  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                63  30  54  39  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              66  31  57  39  65 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

16/03



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