Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 012116
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
416 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...

DID NOT CHANGE A LOT IN THE FORECAST AS GOING PACKAGE SEEMS TO BE IN
GOOD SHAPE. THE OVERALL IDEA OF A WARM DRY WEEK FOLLOWED BY A COOLER
WETTER WEEKEND STILL REMAINS VALID THOUGH SOME OF THE DETAILS REMAIN
A BIT FUZZY DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT.

TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
WARM AND PREDOMINATELY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN THIS PERIOD. THERE
COULD BE AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO OVERNIGHT IN THE ERN PANHANDLES
TONIGHT AND AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LIMITED. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW BEFORE
PICKING UP WED AND THU OUT OF THE SW.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
A COLD FRONT WILL WORK INTO THE AREA SOMETIME AROUND THE THU NIGHT/FRIDAY
TIMEFRAME. MED RANGE MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TIMING OF
THIS FRONT...BUT HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE GEM/ECMWF SOLUTION OF
BRINGING THE FRONT IN THU NIGHT AND KEEPING THE FRONT AROUND THE
PANHANDLES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GIVEN THIS PREFERENCE...HAVE TRIMMED
HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND AND LEFT IN THE PRECIP CHANCES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                66  92  69  93  67 /  10   5  10   5   5
BEAVER OK                  66  92  72  99  72 /  20  20  10  10   5
BOISE CITY OK              62  87  66  96  66 /  10   5   5  10   5
BORGER TX                  69  94  72  97  71 /  10   5  10   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              65  92  69  96  69 /  10   5   5   5   5
CANYON TX                  66  93  68  93  67 /  10   5   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               70  95  70  94  69 /  20   5  10   5   5
DALHART TX                 63  89  65  96  65 /  10   5   5   5   5
GUYMON OK                  64  90  69  98  70 /  10   5  10  10   5
HEREFORD TX                64  92  66  93  65 /  10   5   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                67  93  72  95  72 /  20  20  10  10   5
PAMPA TX                   67  92  69  94  69 /  20  10  10   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                71  95  71  94  71 /  20  10  10   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              74  97  73  96  73 /  20  10  10   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

20/09






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