Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 042130
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
330 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
NOT A LOT TO GET EXCITED ABOUT REGARDING WEATHER ACROSS THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.  NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED.

CURRENT CONFLUENT NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE INTERRUPTED BY BRIEF
SHORTWAVE RIDGING TONIGHT.  SHORTWAVE TROF WILL IMMEDIATELY FOLLOW
...MOVING THROUGH FORECAST AREA FRIDAY.  THESE COUPLED FEATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS.  MOSTLY CLEAR SKY EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SETS UP AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING.  BY SUNDAY...A
HIGH-AMPLITUDE RIDGE BEGINS BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN U.S. AND
CANADA.  MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES AGREE THAT HIGHLY-
AMPLIFIED FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.  THIS PATTERN
OFFERS LITTLE...IF ANY...CHANCE FOR MOISTURE RETURN.  OCCASIONAL
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES ALSO EXPECTED TO OCCUR.  DAILY MAXIMA EXPECTED
TO REMAIN WITHIN TEN DEGREES FAHRENHEIT OF CLIMO THROUGH TUESDAY.

FLOW BEGINS TO FLATTEN SLIGHTLY BEGINNING WEDNESDAY...WITH WARMER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT TO NORTH ON FRIDAY.  IN SPITE
OF INCREASING SPEEDS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 20
PERCENT.  SOUTHWEST WINDS ON SATURDAY RESUME...WITH BRIEF ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLY DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE.  NORTH WINDS ON
SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL NOT BE DRY ENOUGH TO PRODUCE
ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS . DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS
RETURN ON WEDNESDAY...BUT NO STRONG WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED.  LIGHT
TO MODERATE NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. 03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                24  44  22  58  27 /   0   5   5   0   0
BEAVER OK                  22  43  22  57  26 /   0   5   5   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              20  40  19  55  26 /   0   5   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  27  45  24  58  30 /   0   0   5   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              24  46  20  59  25 /   0   5   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  24  45  21  58  28 /   0   5   5   0   0
CLARENDON TX               25  48  25  58  30 /   0   0   5   0   0
DALHART TX                 20  42  17  57  25 /   0   5   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  21  43  20  57  26 /   0   5   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                23  46  20  58  27 /   0   5   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                24  46  23  57  27 /   0   0   5   0   0
PAMPA TX                   25  43  23  56  29 /   0   0   5   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                25  51  26  57  28 /   0   0   5   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              26  53  27  58  30 /   0   0   5   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

18/03


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