Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 010853
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
353 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLIP INTO THE NORTHWEST CWA THIS
MORNING. THIS BOUNDARY MAY SET OFF A FEW SHOWERS IN THE FAR
NORTHWEST...SO HAVE ADDED SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THERE. A WEAK
UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE RIDGE
FROM SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS DISTURBANCE MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
PULL ANY MOUNTAIN CONVECTION INTO OUR NORTHWEST CWA...SO HAVE
CONTINUED WITH SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THERE.

A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS FORECAST.
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND AND THEN A STRONGER NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL SWING ACROSS THE PANHANDLES ON TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERY DAY THROUGH THIS
FORECAST. THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE CENTERED AROUND WHEN THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION. BUT OFF AND ON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THIS
FORECAST AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS TO OUR WEST AND THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ENCOURAGES A DRYLINE TO OSCILLATE BACK AND FORTH
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK. TUESDAY MAY BE THE ONE DAY BELOW NORMAL AS MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
IS FORECAST THEN.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                80  53  82  57  84 /   5   5   0   5  10
BEAVER OK                  81  56  85  59  87 /   5  20   0  10  20
BOISE CITY OK              80  52  83  54  85 /  20  20   5  20  20
BORGER TX                  82  56  85  60  85 /  10  10   5   5  10
BOYS RANCH TX              84  53  86  57  89 /  10   5   5   5  10
CANYON TX                  82  52  83  57  85 /   5   5   0   5  10
CLARENDON TX               81  54  83  56  83 /   5   5   0   5  10
DALHART TX                 82  51  83  54  86 /  10  20   5  10  10
GUYMON OK                  83  55  85  57  88 /  10  20   5  10  20
HEREFORD TX                81  52  83  55  85 /  10   5   0   5  10
LIPSCOMB TX                80  57  82  59  84 /   5  10   0   5  10
PAMPA TX                   78  53  81  58  82 /   5   5   0   5  10
SHAMROCK TX                79  54  82  56  82 /   5   5   0   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              81  54  83  57  84 /   5   5   0   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/15





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