Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 171153
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
553 AM CST WED DEC 17 2014

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT KAMA THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. A LIGHT RAIN SHOWER COULD GRAZE THE TERMINAL...BUT BETTER
CHANCES WILL REMAIN TO THE EAST. EXPECT CIGS TO LIFT/SCATTER
OUT AT KAMA BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...ALLOWING A RETURN
TO VFR CONDITIONS. HOWEVER LOW CIGS /POSSIBLY IFR/ MAY RETURN TOWARD
THE VERY END OF THE TAF PERIOD AS LOW-LEVELS MOISTEN BEHIND A COLD
FRONT.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KDHT AND KGUY TODAY AS ANY MVFR CIGS
SHOULD REMAIN EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THESE TERMINALS. CAN/T RULE OUT AN
MVFR CIG AT KGUY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THINK VFR WILL BE THE RULE.
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AT KGUY AS IFR CIGS AND
POSSIBLY BR SET IN. COULD SEE A LITTLE -DZ LATE TONIGHT AS WELL. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT KDHT THROUGH 06Z...HOWEVER LOW
CIGS MAY DEVELOP AFTER THIS TIME.

KB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 AM CST WED DEC 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE OVER FAR NORTHWEST MEXICO EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE PANHANDLES TODAY AND
TONIGHT. OUR AREA MAY GET GRAZED BY THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE PRECIP
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SHORT WAVE. CHANCES OF RAIN LOOK TO BE BEST
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE CWA. SOME RAIN/SNOW AND
FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTH.
THERE IS SOME LOW LEVEL LIFT WITHIN AN AREA OF HIGHER SURFACE
MOISTURE ACROSS THESE AREAS. NO SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED AS ANY PRECIP WILL BE VERY LIGHT.

NEXT SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES THIS WAY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
AGAIN IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE PRECIP WITH THIS WAVE WILL PASS SOUTH
OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...HAVE CONTINUED WITH THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT RAIN FOR THE POSSIBILITY THAT THIS
WAVE COULD MOVE A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH. AGAIN...NO ACCUMULATION OF
SNOW IS EXPECTED.

WILL LEAVE THE REST OF THE FORECAST DRY. THERE COULD BE A COUPLE OF
SHORT WAVE TROUGHS THAT CROSS THE REGION...BUT THEY LOOK PRETTY
MOISTURE STARVED AT THIS POINT. THEY WILL BE MOVING THIS WAY MORE
FROM THE NORTHWEST...SO MOST OF THEIR PRECIP SHOULD GET WRUNG OUT
OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

AFTER A FEW DAYS OF TEMPERATURES AROUND OR JUST BELOW NORMAL...
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND SOME TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

08/15




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