Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KAMA 192039
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
335 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEEN ON RADAR AT THIS TIME
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING.  HAVE INCREASED POPS ALONG A
CORRIDOR FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ALONG INSTABILITY AXIS IN
REGION WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE EXPECTED TO BE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER.

SUNDAY MORNING POPS HAVE BEEN KEPT...BUT HAVE TRIMMED SAME IN CENTRAL
SECTIONS...WHERE UPPER- AND LOWER-LEVEL FORCING ARE EXPECTED TO BE
WEAK.  CHANCE POPS HAVE BEEN RETAINED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS SHARP MID-
LEVEL TROF SHOULD GENERATE ASCENT.

HAVE REALIGNED SUNDAY EVENING POPS...NOW WITH HIGHEST POPS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST HALF OF FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF EXPECTED VORTICITY MAXIMUM
IN REGION OF RICHER MOISTURE.  HAVE INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT IN EASTERN SECTIONS...WHERE EXPECTED FINAL
VORTICITY MAXIMUM ENCOUNTERS 850 MB COLD FRONT.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING HAVE BEEN KEPT DRY.  INHERITED
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON POPS IN FAR EASTERN PART OF FORECAST AREA HAVE
BEEN EXPANDED WESTWARD...WHERE MOISTURE AHEAD OF DRYLINE EXPECTED TO
BE POSITIONED.   HAVE LIKEWISE INTRODUCED POPS IN EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.  REMAINING PERIODS HAVE BEEN LEFT DRY.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TUESDAY.  CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLES...AND ON
THURSDAY ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST PART OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLES.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                52  74  53  76  49 /  40  40  40   5   0
BEAVER OK                  55  77  53  79  47 /  40  50  40   5   0
BOISE CITY OK              50  71  50  72  48 /  30  50  10   5   0
BORGER TX                  58  75  56  80  53 /  40  40  40   5   0
BOYS RANCH TX              52  78  52  79  50 /  40  40  10   5   0
CANYON TX                  50  75  52  77  48 /  40  40  20   5   0
CLARENDON TX               54  75  56  78  52 /  30  40  50   5   0
DALHART TX                 49  73  46  74  47 /  30  40  10   5   0
GUYMON OK                  53  75  52  77  48 /  30  50  10   5   0
HEREFORD TX                49  75  50  76  47 /  40  40  10   5   0
LIPSCOMB TX                55  78  55  78  48 /  40  50  50   5   0
PAMPA TX                   54  75  53  76  51 /  40  50  50   5   0
SHAMROCK TX                55  78  58  80  51 /  30  50  50   5   0
WELLINGTON TX              57  79  58  81  53 /  30  50  50   5   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

10/03




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.