Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 282200
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
400 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WHAT SHOULD BE A COLD LATE NOVEMBER DAY HAS TURNED INTO QUITE THE
WARM SPRINGLIKE DAY ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS NOT
OFTEN IN NOVEMBER THAT AMARILLO IS THE WARMEST SPOT IN THE LOWER 48
WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE SO FAR OF 83F DEGREES! HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDS HAVE BEEN BROKEN AT DALHART...BORGER...AND AMARILLO TODAY.
WITH THE BULK OF WINTER REMAINING...SOAKING IN THIS UNUSUAL WARMTH IS
A DEFINITE MUST. BUT I HATE TO BREAK THE NEWS...WE HAVE ABOUT 48
HOURS LEFT UNTIL WINTER CRASHES OUR PARTY AND THE 80S WILL BE A
DISTANT MEMORY. LOWS TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE ABOVE FREEZING AREA
WIDE WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STAYING UP OVERNIGHT.

SATURDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AS HIGH TEMPS WILL BE ANYWHERE
FROM 25 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. NOT QUITE SURE THE AREA
WILL HIT TODAY`S READINGS AS 850MB TEMPERATURES SEEM TO BE SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ARE STILL EXPECTED WITH A FEW
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TOO. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S.

BIG CHANGES CAN BE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...BUT DEPENDING ON WHERE YOU ARE
LOCATED IN THE PANHANDLES...YOU MAY BE ABLE TO SNEAK IN ONE LAST
EXCEPTIONALLY WARM DAY. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO
THE AREA...AND THOSE THAT HAVE LIVED HERE LONG ENOUGH KNOW THAT
TIMING THESE FRONTS CAN BE QUITE THE HEADACHE! BEAVER COUNTY COULD
ONLY MAKE IT INTO THE 50S WHILE DEAF SMITH COUNTY COULD BE SITTING IN
THE UPPER 70S! SO NEEDLESS TO SAY...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY
DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN FOR SUNDAY WITH THAT KIND OF RANGE ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES. REGARDLESS, THE COLD FRONT WILL BE A DRY ONE WITH NO
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

MONDAY WILL BE MUCH MUCH MUCH COLDER AS MORNING LOWS WILL BE IN THE
TEENS WHILE HIGHS HOVER AROUND THE FREEZING MARK. HOWEVER...A RAPID
WARM UP CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGHS RECOVER BACK
INTO THE 50S AND 60S WITH ANOTHER WEAK BUT DRY COLD FRONT EXPECTED
LATE WEDNESDAY.

KNS

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 6PM THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. FOR SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL WELL
BELOW 20 PERCENT...MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM SPEARMAN TO MEMPHIS.
ON SUNDAY...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE. NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

KNS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                42  81  42  68  16 /   0   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  33  80  32  51  14 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              39  80  37  61  15 /   0   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  46  83  44  63  18 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              40  82  39  67  18 /   0   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  42  80  43  72  17 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               42  83  43  68  19 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 34  81  33  63  18 /   0   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  37  81  37  59  15 /   0   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                42  82  43  73  18 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                39  80  38  57  18 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   42  80  41  61  16 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                40  81  41  64  21 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              43  81  42  68  25 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$



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