Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 301202
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
702 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.AVIATION...12Z TAFS

A LITTLE BIT OF BR AT KDHT SHOULD CLEAR OUT QUICKLY AND GIVE WAY TO
PREDOMINATELY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD.
THERE IS SOME THREAT OF FOG OR LOW CLOUDS DEVELOPING AT KAMA LATE
TONIGHT...BUT CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE SSW
BEFORE VEERING TO MORE WESTERLY AT THE END OF THE PERIOD.

SIMPSON
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW WAS LOCATED OVER BFF EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS
UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND WILL BE IN SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE INSTABILITY AXIS WILL LINE UP ACROSS
THE EASTERN CWA AND THIS INSTABILITY WILL STILL BE FOUND UNDER
THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE BROAD TROUGH ALOFT THROUGH TONIGHT.
THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE MENTION OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST FROM THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND IT WILL PASS ACROSS THE PANHANDLES ON
THURSDAY AS A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH. THERE MAY STILL BE SOME
LINGERING INSTABILITY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PANHANDLES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THIS NEXT SHORT WAVE TROUGH. BUT THE BETTER
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL COME WITH THE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA.

AFTER THURSDAY THE FORECAST GOES DRY AS A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
DOMINATES.

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS WEEK. THE WINDS WILL GET STRONG BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE 20 PERCENT.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

09/99




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