Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 161933
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
233 PM CDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Not too much derivation from the previous forecast. The
Panhandles region under a south to southwesterly winds have warmed
nicely from a chilly start this morning. Current observations
shows a surface low trying to develop over SE Colorado in-
conjunction with a surface ridge shifting SE into north central
TX, southwest winds will be rather gusty at times this afternoon
over 20 kts at times, with winds subsiding by evening hours.
Otherwise, going forward into the remainder of the week will bring
tranquil weather conditions. High pressure will dominate the
remainder of the work week with light south and southwesterly
winds keeping temperatures near to above average.

As we go into the weekend, a deepening trough over the Pac NW will
move east into the inter-mountain west by Saturday morning. A
developing surface low pressure in Canada will have an extended
cold front across the central CONUS. In-conjunction with the cold
front, latest 16/12Z model and numerical data illustrate a deep
sinusoidal jet dipping equatorward into the Panhandles region by
late Saturday and early Sunday morning providing some localized
lift for showers and thunderstorms, especially for the eastern
Panhandles where the best instability and lift are located at this
time along the cold front. Will update forecast as we get closer
with time. Temperatures ahead of front on Saturday will be near
average to below average behind the front on Sunday before
rebounding to near average by next Monday.

Meccariello

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                42  81  49  84  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  41  81  46  83  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              41  81  44  82  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  45  81  51  86  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              41  82  47  85  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  41  81  48  85  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               42  80  48  83  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 39  80  44  82  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  42  79  45  84  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                40  80  47  84  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                43  78  47  82  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   43  78  49  82  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                42  77  46  81  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              43  79  47  84  52 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

29/89



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