Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 172100
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
400 PM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Weak upper level trof over western KS will pull away from two
high pressure systems this evening. Lingering moisture over the
Panhandles with strong surfaced based heating could result in some
late afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Storms could be strong
due to SBCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg, but will be short-lived as
shear values will not allow them to sustain themselves. However
slow moving storms could produce moderate to heavy rain at times.

Strong high pressure will build over the southern plains through
the rest of the week. This will push the moisture return from the
south more into the Southern CA, AZ and western NM areas. As a
result, hot and dry conditions will be over the Panhandles through
Friday.

As we approach the weekend the ridge will shift further east and
begin to draw moisture back into the area. This will allow
thunderstorms to return to the forecast. The best chances will
start with the western Panhandles, and will progress to the
central and eastern Panhandles later over the weekend. Moisture
return is still expected to be around through early next week as
well.

Weber

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Issuance...VFR conditions expected through the period.
Isolated storms possible this afternoon, but confidence is too low
to say when and where to add to taf. Slight breeze during the
afternoon then southerly winds will calm to aob 12kts overnight.

Beat

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                69  95  70  97  70 /  20   5   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  71 100  73 102  73 /  20   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              66  96  69  97  69 /  20   5  10   5   5
Borger TX                  73  99  74 101  73 /  20   5   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              70  99  70  99  70 /  20   5  10   0   0
Canyon TX                  68  95  69  96  68 /  20   5   5   0   0
Clarendon TX               70  96  71  98  71 /  20   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 67  98  68  99  68 /  20   5  10   0   0
Guymon OK                  70  99  71 101  71 /  20   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                68  95  68  95  67 /  20   5   5   0   0
Lipscomb TX                72  99  73 101  73 /  20   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   70  97  70  98  71 /  20   5   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                71  98  72 100  72 /  10   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              72  98  73 100  73 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

89/16



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