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000
FXUS64 KAMA 141754 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1254 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/ THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN CENTERS ON THE TIMING OF A COLD
FRONT THAT IS SLATED TO MOVE THROUGH THE KGUY/KDHT TERMINALS AT THE
VERY END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...BREEZY
NORTHEAST WINDS 15-20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 KTS WILL CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10 KTS AFTER SUNSET. WINDS
WILL VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL
INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT...ALTHOUGH NOT EXPECTING THE STRONG WINDS
UNTIL AROUND 00Z SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
VALID TAF FORECAST PERIOD WITH INCREASING MID CLOUDS.

CLK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 558 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WIND SHIFTS WILL
BE THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN AS A COLD FRONT IS BEGINNING TO ENTER THE
PANHANDLES CAUSING KGUY TO GO NORTHWESTWARD. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
CAUSING WINDS TO SHIFT AT KAMA AROUND 14Z. BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS
WILL GUSTS NEAR 30KTS BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING AND ROTATE
AROUND THE DIAL. SURFACE WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE FROM A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY THE END OF THIS TAF ISSUANCE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 415 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NORTHERN SECTIONS OF FORECAST AREA AT THIS
TIME EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH PANHANDLES TODAY.  LITTLE
IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES AS MAXIMA TODAY AND SATURDAY EXPECTED TO RISE
SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO.

POPS FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT HAVE BEEN KEPT...BUT HAVE
CALLED FOR SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF FORECAST AREA TO BE THE
MOST FAVORED TO RECEIVE RAIN...DUE TO EXPECTED MOISTURE AVAILABILITY.
MENTION OF THUNDER HAS BEEN RETAINED FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AS POTENT DYNAMICS TRAVERSE WEAK INSTABILITY.
NO STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.  SUNDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY EXPECTED TO BE DRY.

COOLER ON SUNDAY AS COLD AIR ADVECTION PREVAILS IN HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
FLOW.  MUCH WARMER ON MONDAY AS FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL.  ANOTHER
COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY BRINGS MAXIMA CLOSE TO CLIMO...WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY.  WARMER AGAIN ON THURSDAY.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NORTH AND EAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A
COLD FRONT.  BRIEFLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR
BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM TODAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REACH 20
PERCENT.  A REINFORCING COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY WILL CAUSE NORTH WINDS
TO INCREASE BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL AND
ELEVATED THRESHOLDS.  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON
SUNDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLES.  ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON TUESDAY AND
THURSDAY.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$