Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 041959
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
259 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A COUPLE OF AREAS THAT COULD HELP TO PRODUCE AN ENHANCED AREA
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEEM TO BE IN THE NORTHEAST NEAR
A OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND IN THE NORTHWEST CLOSER TO THE
MOUNTAIN CONVECTION THAT COULD MOVE THIS WAY IN THE NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND INCREASED POPS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN CWA GIVEN THESE FEATURES.

SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE A RELATIVELY DRY DAY AS THE CENTER OF THE
UPPER RIDGE MOVES OVER THE PANHANDLES. HOWEVER...MORE MOUNTAIN
CONVECTION MAY MAKE IT AS FAR EAST AS THE FAR WESTERN
PANHANDLES BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GET A
BOOST ON SUNDAY FROM GUSTY SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD BE CLOSE
TO 100 AGAIN.

THE UPPER HIGH BREAKS DOWN AND IT ALLOWS A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH
TO DIVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT
LAKES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT IS STILL SLATED TO
MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLES ON MONDAY WHICH WILL SET THE STAGE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN. SOME OF THE STORMS
MAY STRONG TO SEVERE AND WILL LIKELY CARRY SOME PRETTY HEAVY
RAIN WITH THEM. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL LIKELY FORM ALONG THE
COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH.

SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL THEN CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH ABOUT
THURSDAY NIGHT AS AN UNSTABLE TYPICAL SUMMER TIME AIR MASS
REMAINS IN PLACE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                68  94  70  87  63 /  20  10  20  50  60
BEAVER OK                  69  99  72  93  64 /  30  10  20  60  50
BOISE CITY OK              68  98  66  79  58 /  40  20  30  40  30
BORGER TX                  70  98  72  93  63 /  20  10  20  50  50
BOYS RANCH TX              70  99  71  88  63 /  20  10  20  40  40
CANYON TX                  67  95  70  88  64 /  20  10  20  50  60
CLARENDON TX               69  94  69  89  65 /  20  10  20  50  60
DALHART TX                 69  99  69  84  61 /  30  20  20  40  40
GUYMON OK                  70  98  71  86  62 /  30  10  30  50  30
HEREFORD TX                66  93  70  90  64 /  20  10  20  40  50
LIPSCOMB TX                70  96  72  94  64 /  30  10  20  60  60
PAMPA TX                   69  94  71  87  63 /  20  10  20  50  60
SHAMROCK TX                70  94  70  91  65 /  20  10  20  50  60
WELLINGTON TX              71  96  71  92  67 /  20  10  20  50  60

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

88/15





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