Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 150428
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1028 PM CST Tue Nov 14 2017

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Cycle

VFR conditions will prevail at all three TAF sites through 06Z
Thursday. North and northeast winds at the Guymon and Dalhart TAF
sites will increase to around 15 to 25 knots with gusts near 30
knots which will diminish around 16Z to 19Z Wednesday to around 5
to 15 knots from the east and southeast. Southwest to northwest
winds at the Amarillo TAF site 5 to 15 knots will shift to the
north and northeast increasing to around 15 to 25 knots with
gusts near 30 knots around 07Z to 09Z Wednesday. Winds at the
Amarillo TAF site will become northeast to southeast after 19Z to
21Z Wednesday and will diminish to around 5 to 15 knots.

Schneider

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 542 PM CST Tue Nov 14 2017/

AVIATION...
00Z TAF Cycle

VFR conditions will prevail at all three TAF sites through 00Z
Thursday. Southwest to west winds 5 to 15 knots or less will shift
to the north and northeast 15 to 25 knots or 20 to 30 knots with
gusts near 35 knots after 05Z to 08Z Wednesday. After 17Z to 19Z
Wednesday, winds will become northeast to east and southeast and
will diminish to around 5 to 15 knots.

Schneider

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 235 PM CST Tue Nov 14 2017/

DISCUSSION...
A cold front will push through the Panhandles overnight. The airmass
behind this front is drier, so not expecting low clouds and fog
behind it.

Fast zonal flow aloft will encourage another lee-side trough to
develop on Thursday and the downslope winds will help to push highs
above normal again.

The models do not agree on the timing of the next short wave trough
that moves from the Pacific Northwest on Thursday night to the
Panhandles by early Saturday morning. This short wave trough helps
to drive a cold front through the region late Friday afternoon or
Friday night. Winds are expected to be pretty strong behind this
front.

After a below normal day for highs on Saturday, temperatures should
slowly modify through early next week as upper heights rise.

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will be likely on Friday. Southwest
to west winds are expected to get up into the 20 to 25 mph range and
relative humidity values will get down to around 20 percent across
much of the area. High clouds should keep the Panhandles from
getting into critical fire weather conditions both on winds and
relative humidity values.

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

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