Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KAMA 172109
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
309 PM CST WED DEC 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...


&&

.SHORT TERM...
STRONGEST WAA/ISENTROPIC LIFT HAS SHIFTED EAST SO THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION HAS AS WELL. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTION OF THE AREA BUT
MOISTURE WILL BECOME SHALLOWER LATER TONIGHT LEAVING LOW CLOUDS AND
AREAS OF DRIZZLE THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND
FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE. TEMPERATURES HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY
WARMER AND ANY FREEZING DRIZZLE SHOULD BE VERY LIMITED IN COVERAGE
AND DURATION. SOME FOG MAY DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT ACROSS MAINLY THE
NORTHEASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF
THE AREA TONIGHT BUT CLEARING IS IN QUESTION. A PERIOD OF PARTIAL
CLEARING MAY OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY INCREASING
CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN
CONUS AND APPROACH THE CONUS TOMORROW EVENING.

BOWERS


.LONG TERM...
NEXT UPPER TROUGH TRACKS ACROSS THE ROCKIES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
BRINGING SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION TO MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF
OR SO OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. A COOL SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD DOWN
INTO THE FORECAST AREA THE END OF THE WEEK. A BRIEF UPPER RIDGE WILL
BUILD INTO THE PANHANDLES SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SOUTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKS ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND WEST TEXAS
SUNDAY. LACK OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH MAINLY HIGH LEVEL AND POSSIBLY
MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. UNSEASONABLY
WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE COOL SURFACE RIDGE
SLIDES OFF TO THE EAST AND SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS ALONG THE LEE OF
THE ROCKIES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DOWNSLOPING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO
DEVELOP AHEAD OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS PACIFIC
COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH ACROSS THE PANHANDLES LATE MONDAY INTO
EARLY TUESDAY. AGAIN...LACK OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INHIBIT
PRECIPITATION CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY WARM
CONDITIONS NEXT MONDAY FOLLOWED BY SLIGHT COOLER CONDITIONS TUESDAY
BEHIND THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT.

SCHNEIDER


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                32  44  30  44  26 /  10   5  20  20   5
BEAVER OK                  31  40  30  46  26 /  30  20  10  10   5
BOISE CITY OK              27  43  26  47  26 /  20   5  10  10   5
BORGER TX                  35  44  32  47  30 /  10   5  20  20   5
BOYS RANCH TX              29  47  29  46  25 /  10   5  20  20   5
CANYON TX                  31  47  30  46  25 /  10   5  20  20   0
CLARENDON TX               37  46  31  47  28 /  10   5  20  20   5
DALHART TX                 29  46  26  46  22 /  10   5  20  10   5
GUYMON OK                  32  42  29  46  26 /  20  10  10  10   5
HEREFORD TX                30  48  29  49  24 /   5   5  20  20   0
LIPSCOMB TX                35  42  29  46  29 /  20  10  10  20   5
PAMPA TX                   36  43  30  44  29 /  10   5  20  20   5
SHAMROCK TX                37  45  30  45  29 /  10   5  20  20   5
WELLINGTON TX              38  47  33  47  32 /  10   5  20  20   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/11





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.