Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 030855
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
255 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND INTO CANADA TODAY. THE BASE OF
THE MUCH LARGER PARENT TROUGH WILL BE FOUND OVER THE PANHANDLES
THROUGH THIS EVENING. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WITHIN THE BASE OF THE
LARGER TROUGH. THIS SHORT WAVE MAY HAVE JUST ENOUGH LIFT WITH IT TO
BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE NORTHWEST CWA. THE LOW LEVELS WILL
REMAIN PRETTY DRY...SO WILL KEEP POPS DOWN IN THE SLIGHT CHANCE
RANGE. NO SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MAKE A RUN AT THE PANHANDLES ON
FRIDAY. THIS WAVE LOOKS PRETTY MOISTURE STARVED AND IT LOOKS LIKE IT
IS NOW MOVING FASTER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. SO HAVE DECIDED TO REMOVE
THE POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. HAVE NOT DECIDED TO ADD POPS TO THE
DAYTIME FRIDAY AS IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE TOUGH TO GET ANY
PRECIPITATION DOWN TO THE GROUND.

THE PANHANDLES WILL REMAIN UNDER A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN A
RIDGE TO OUR WEST AND A TROUGH TO OUR EAST. THIS WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES AROUND NORMAL AND THE WEATHER MAINLY DRY THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
LIGHT WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE 20 PERCENT WILL KEEP
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DOWN TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP TO
BELOW 20 PERCENT ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE ON
THURSDAY. THE WINDS AT THIS POINT LOOK TO STAY BELOW 15 MPH FROM THE
SOUTHWEST...BUT IF THE SURFACE TROUGH STRENGTHENS MORE THAN
EXPECTED...THEN WINDS COULD BE UP AROUND 15 MPH OR A LITTLE GREATER
WHICH WOULD CAUSE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                41  18  53  26  46 /   0   5   0   0   5
BEAVER OK                  38  16  49  21  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              35  14  45  21  42 /  20  20   0   0   5
BORGER TX                  40  19  51  29  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              39  15  51  26  47 /   0   5   0   0  10
CANYON TX                  43  17  55  27  47 /   0   5   0   0   5
CLARENDON TX               43  20  54  28  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 36  16  48  26  44 /  20  20   0   0  10
GUYMON OK                  37  17  48  23  46 /   0   5   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                43  16  53  27  46 /   0   5   0   0   5
LIPSCOMB TX                41  15  51  25  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   39  18  49  25  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                44  19  51  26  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              46  22  52  29  53 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

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