Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 050920
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
320 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TODAY USHERING IN A
COLD FRONT BY THIS AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS THAT ANY SNOW SHOULD REMAIN
WEST AND NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. LEE SURFACE TROUGH FORECAST TO
DEVELOP BY SATURDAY WEST OF THE PANHANDLES ALLOWING FOR A SOUTHWEST
SURFACE FLOW AND NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY RESULTING
IN BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN. HOWEVER...NO PRECIP EXPECTED.
COOL SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY WITH CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS. COOL
SURFACE RIDGE TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST OF THE PANHANDLES BY TUESDAY AS
SURFACE LOW AND TROUGH DEVELOP ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES WEST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. ABOVE NORMAL AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT EXPECTED NEXT
THURSDAY...HOWEVER A DRY NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW NEXT WEEK AS AN
UPPER HIGH PREVAILS OVER THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN STATES SHOULD
MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
HOWEVER...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD POSSIBLY DEVELOP
SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS PANHANDLE. A SURFACE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
LEE OF THE ROCKIES SATURDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW THE 20 FOOT WINDS TO
BECOME DOWNSLOPING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH SPEEDS POSSIBLY REACHING
AS HIGH AS 15 MPH OR 15 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS. MINIMUM
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SATURDAY ARE FORECAST TO FALL TO AROUND
15 TO 20 PERCENT ACROSS THIS AREA. SUNDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT
WEEK...NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                44  22  58  28  51 /   5   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  44  20  57  27  49 /   5   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              40  19  57  27  45 /   5   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  45  23  57  30  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              44  19  57  26  52 /   5   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  44  21  59  28  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               47  25  59  31  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 41  16  56  26  49 /   5   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  44  17  56  27  48 /   5   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                43  20  59  28  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                46  21  57  28  52 /   5   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   43  23  57  30  50 /   5   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                49  25  57  29  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              52  28  59  31  59 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/11


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