Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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741
FXUS64 KAMA 191752
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1252 PM CDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.AVIATION...18Z TAFS...
VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours.
Thunderstorm chances look very dim at this point. If storms should
develop they will likely be west of KGUY and northwest of KDHT
and should stay out of the 10 mile range for VCTS. Thusly, if
things should change will defer to TAF amendments should
conditions become more favorable. Winds will generally be out of
the south 5 to 15 kts.

Weber

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 447 AM CDT Sat Aug 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper high over the southern Rockies will allow for a westerly to
southwesterly flow aloft across the Panhandles today and tonight.
An upper low will approach the forecast from the southwest late
this weekend into early next week. The upper high will become
reestablished again over the southern Rockies by the middle and
end of next week. This will result in the upper flow becoming
westerly to northwesterly during the latter half of next week. A
series of shortwave troughs will track across the forecast area
mainly during the afternoon and evening hours Wednesday through
late next week. Chances for convection will continue through late
next weekend with a few storms becoming strong and marginally
severe to severe with mainly damaging winds and possible hail the
threats. Heavy to very heavy rainfall will also be a concern with
the stronger storms as PWATs of around 1.50 to 1.75 inches
forecast for early next week to the end of next week.

Schneider

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                92  68  89  67  87 /   5  10  20  20  30
Beaver OK                  97  72  95  71  93 /   5  10  20  20  30
Boise City OK              91  65  87  64  84 /  20  20  20  30  30
Borger TX                  95  72  92  70  91 /   5  10  20  20  30
Boys Ranch TX              94  69  90  67  88 /  10  10  20  30  30
Canyon TX                  92  67  89  67  88 /  10  10  20  20  30
Clarendon TX               94  70  92  69  91 /   5  10  20  10  20
Dalhart TX                 92  66  87  65  85 /  10  20  20  40  30
Guymon OK                  95  69  91  68  89 /  10  20  20  30  30
Hereford TX                91  67  88  66  86 /  10  10  20  30  30
Lipscomb TX                96  72  94  71  92 /   5  10  20  20  20
Pampa TX                   94  70  91  69  90 /   5  10  20  20  20
Shamrock TX                96  72  94  70  94 /  10  10  20  10  10
Wellington TX              97  73  95  72  95 /  10  10  20  10  10

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

89/11



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