Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 281132 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
632 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/ VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE VALID TAF FORECAST
PERIOD. A WEAK SURFACE LOW PASSING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WILL RESULT
IN LIGHT AND MAINLY VARIABLE WINDS. A COLD FRONT IS ON TRACK TO PUSH
ACROSS THE TERMINALS SUNDAY. HOWEVER THE MAIN EFFECTS OF THIS FRONT
/USHERING IN STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS/ ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINALS UNTIL AFTER 12Z SUNDAY.

CLK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TODAY WITH
HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 80S AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN BY SUNDAY AS A NORTHERN
STREAM UPPER TROUGH PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES SUNDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY MORNING WHICH
WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. ALTHOUGH A WIND
ADVISORY IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR SUNDAY...20 TO 30 MPH
WINDS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE LIKELY. SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH BY 00Z
MONDAY AS A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE
NORTH AND EAST. SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK
BUT STILL UNSEASONABLY WARM. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE
PANHANDLES TUESDAY. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK TO THE
NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AS A WARM FRONT AND ALSO BRING
CHANCES FOR CONVECTION TO THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP ON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER EASTERN NEW
MEXICO OR EASTERN COLORADO BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. UNSEASONABLY WARM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS HIGHS ONCE
AGAIN REACH INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 80S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
NORTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH TO TRACK EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES
BY THURSDAY WHICH WILL USHER IN A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS...BUT STILL UNSEASONABLY WARM...THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY.

SCHNEIDER

FIRE WEATHER...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLES SUNDAY MORNING SHIFTING
THE 20 FOOT WINDS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WHICH WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MOST OF THE
PANHANDLES SUNDAY...HOWEVER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

05/11





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