Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 241007
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
407 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The frontal boundary which moved through the forecast area
Thursday evening has now pushed south and west of the Panhandles
early Friday morning. Cold surface high to build south out of the
central Plains states tonight and then into the southern Plains
states Saturday. Winds will veer around from the northwest and
north today to the northeast and east tonight and then south and
southwest Saturday. Upper low over the central Rockies today will
rapidly move east tonight and Saturday with dry northwesterly
upper flow this weekend. Surface low develops on the frontal
boundary today to the lee of the southern Rockies which should
remain across the eastern Plains of New Mexico through the
weekend.

A secondary cold front to push south and west into the Panhandles
late Saturday night into Sunday and should stall across the
forecast area by Sunday night before lifting northward Monday as a
warm front into the northern portions of the Panhandles by Monday
night. Frontal boundary should push south again as a cold front
Tuesday but then stall once again across the forecast area by
Tuesday night into early Wednesday. Frontal boundary is expected
to finally move completely across the Panhandles by Wednesday
evening or Wednesday night. Some isolated showers or light rain
will be possible Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night across the
northern portions of the Panhandles as a short wave trough
approaches from the southwestern states, Four Corners region and
the central and southern Rockies.

Schneider

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The cold front has pushed south of the Panhandles early this
morning extending back northward across the eastern Plains of New
Mexico. A surface low is expected to develop on the frontal
boundary over eastern or northeastern New Mexico today. North and
northwest 20 foot winds should increase south and west of the
Panhandles today and then spread north and east into the southwest
Texas Panhandle this afternoon. These 20 foot winds should
increase to around 15 to 25 mph with some higher gusts by mid
afternoon today over the extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle.
Critical fire weather conditions will be possible this afternoon
over Deaf Smith county with elevated fire weather conditions
across Oldham, Potter and Randall counties as winds should
increase to around 15 mph or 15 to 20 mph. Minimum afternoon
relative humidities will range from 10 to 15 percent across the
extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle with 15 to 20 percent across
the remainder of the southwest and south central Texas Panhandle.

On Saturday, 20 foot winds will return back to the south and
southwest again and increase to around 15 to 20 mph mainly across
the western portions of the Texas Panhandle by Saturday afternoon.
Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible Saturday
afternoon across the western portions of the Texas Panhandle as
minimum afternoon humidities should be around 15 to 20 percent.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will be possible
Monday and Tuesday as a cold front pushes into the northern
sections of the Panhandles with strong west and southwest 20 foot
winds 15 to 25 mph or 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts out ahead of
the cold front and minimum afternoon relative humidities of 10 to
15 percent likely.

Schneider

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                50  21  52  30  59 /   0   0   0   0   5
Beaver OK                  45  18  49  27  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              41  15  50  24  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  49  22  52  33  60 /   0   0   0   0   5
Boys Ranch TX              50  19  55  29  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  52  22  54  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               53  23  50  31  63 /   0   0   0   0   5
Dalhart TX                 46  18  52  26  56 /   0   0   0   0   5
Guymon OK                  44  19  50  26  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                54  21  55  30  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                47  21  50  31  59 /   0   0   0   0   5
Pampa TX                   47  20  48  30  58 /   0   0   0   0   5
Shamrock TX                52  24  49  32  62 /   0   0   0   0   5
Wellington TX              55  26  50  33  64 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 6 PM CST this evening for
     the following zones: Deaf Smith.

OK...None.

&&

$$

24/11



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